Recent showers and persistent cloud cover over Milan have kept overnight radiative cooling modest, anchoring forecast minimum temperatures near 17–18°C according to multiple model runs. High humidity near 90% and light easterly winds further suppress temperature drops, while urban heat-island effects add slight variability across observing sites. These conditions explain the near-even market-implied odds clustered around 16–18°C, as small shifts in rainfall timing or cloud breaks could nudge the observed low by 1°C. Historical September minima average 16°C, providing a baseline against which current moist, stable air mass keeps probabilities tightly balanced until final observations resolve the exact value.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Milan on September 17?
14°C 90%
15°C 90%
18°C 50%
17°C 50%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
90%
15°C
90%
16°C
47%
17°C
50%
18°C
50%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
14°C 90%
15°C 90%
18°C 50%
17°C 50%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
90%
15°C
90%
16°C
47%
17°C
50%
18°C
50%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent showers and persistent cloud cover over Milan have kept overnight radiative cooling modest, anchoring forecast minimum temperatures near 17–18°C according to multiple model runs. High humidity near 90% and light easterly winds further suppress temperature drops, while urban heat-island effects add slight variability across observing sites. These conditions explain the near-even market-implied odds clustered around 16–18°C, as small shifts in rainfall timing or cloud breaks could nudge the observed low by 1°C. Historical September minima average 16°C, providing a baseline against which current moist, stable air mass keeps probabilities tightly balanced until final observations resolve the exact value.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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