Current ensemble forecasts from major models project overnight lows in Milan near 17–19°C on September 19, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern with light easterly winds and limited cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. This places the expected daily minimum well within the mid-teens Celsius range, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover around 16°C. The 50% market-implied odds on both sub-11°C and 21°C+ outcomes highlight genuine short-range uncertainty in precise minimum temperature, arising from potential model spread in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, or localized urban heat effects rather than any extreme synoptic shift. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data from regional networks will likely narrow this range before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Milan on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 19?
11°C or below 100%
21°C or higher 100%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 19, 2026
11°C or below
100%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
38%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
38%
20°C
39%
21°C or higher
100%
11°C or below 100%
21°C or higher 100%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 19, 2026
11°C or below
$0 KL.
100%
12°C
$0 KL.
39%
13°C
$0 KL.
39%
14°C
$0 KL.
38%
15°C
$0 KL.
40%
16°C
$0 KL.
40%
17°C
$0 KL.
39%
18°C
$0 KL.
39%
19°C
$0 KL.
38%
20°C
$0 KL.
39%
21°C or higher
$0 KL.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models project overnight lows in Milan near 17–19°C on September 19, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern with light easterly winds and limited cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. This places the expected daily minimum well within the mid-teens Celsius range, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover around 16°C. The 50% market-implied odds on both sub-11°C and 21°C+ outcomes highlight genuine short-range uncertainty in precise minimum temperature, arising from potential model spread in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, or localized urban heat effects rather than any extreme synoptic shift. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data from regional networks will likely narrow this range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models project overnight lows in Milan near 17–19°C on September 19, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern with light easterly winds and limited cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. This places the expected daily minimum well within the mid-teens Celsius range, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover around 16°C. The 50% market-implied odds on both sub-11°C and 21°C+ outcomes highlight genuine short-range uncertainty in precise minimum temperature, arising from potential model spread in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, or localized urban heat effects rather than any extreme synoptic shift. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data from regional networks will likely narrow this range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major models project overnight lows in Milan near 17–19°C on September 19, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern with light easterly winds and limited cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. This places the expected daily minimum well within the mid-teens Celsius range, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover around 16°C. The 50% market-implied odds on both sub-11°C and 21°C+ outcomes highlight genuine short-range uncertainty in precise minimum temperature, arising from potential model spread in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, or localized urban heat effects rather than any extreme synoptic shift. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data from regional networks will likely narrow this range before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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