Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate persistent rainfall and cloud cover over Shenzhen through August 26, driven by tropical moisture and monsoon influences, which can enhance nocturnal cooling via reduced solar heating and evaporative effects. Ensemble guidance shows minimum temperatures centered near 25–27°C, consistent with historical August baselines, though some members allow for brief dips if heavier downpours materialize overnight. This uncertainty, combined with short-range model variability ahead of final resolution, has elevated trader focus on the lower end of the distribution despite the low probability of extremes below 23°C. Updated runs from the National Meteorological Center and local observations will refine these probabilities before market close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 26?
22°C or below 90%
23°C 45%
24°C 45%
25°C 45%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
90%
23°C
45%
24°C
45%
25°C
45%
26°C
27%
27°C
32%
28°C
24%
29°C
23%
30°C
44%
31°C
44%
32°C or higher
1%
22°C or below 90%
23°C 45%
24°C 45%
25°C 45%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$0 KL.
90%
23°C
$0 KL.
45%
24°C
$0 KL.
45%
25°C
$0 KL.
45%
26°C
$0 KL.
27%
27°C
$0 KL.
32%
28°C
$0 KL.
24%
29°C
$0 KL.
23%
30°C
$0 KL.
44%
31°C
$0 KL.
44%
32°C or higher
$0 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate persistent rainfall and cloud cover over Shenzhen through August 26, driven by tropical moisture and monsoon influences, which can enhance nocturnal cooling via reduced solar heating and evaporative effects. Ensemble guidance shows minimum temperatures centered near 25–27°C, consistent with historical August baselines, though some members allow for brief dips if heavier downpours materialize overnight. This uncertainty, combined with short-range model variability ahead of final resolution, has elevated trader focus on the lower end of the distribution despite the low probability of extremes below 23°C. Updated runs from the National Meteorological Center and local observations will refine these probabilities before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Aug 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate persistent rainfall and cloud cover over Shenzhen through August 26, driven by tropical moisture and monsoon influences, which can enhance nocturnal cooling via reduced solar heating and evaporative effects. Ensemble guidance shows minimum temperatures centered near 25–27°C, consistent with historical August baselines, though some members allow for brief dips if heavier downpours materialize overnight. This uncertainty, combined with short-range model variability ahead of final resolution, has elevated trader focus on the lower end of the distribution despite the low probability of extremes below 23°C. Updated runs from the National Meteorological Center and local observations will refine these probabilities before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Aug 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate persistent rainfall and cloud cover over Shenzhen through August 26, driven by tropical moisture and monsoon influences, which can enhance nocturnal cooling via reduced solar heating and evaporative effects. Ensemble guidance shows minimum temperatures centered near 25–27°C, consistent with historical August baselines, though some members allow for brief dips if heavier downpours materialize overnight. This uncertainty, combined with short-range model variability ahead of final resolution, has elevated trader focus on the lower end of the distribution despite the low probability of extremes below 23°C. Updated runs from the National Meteorological Center and local observations will refine these probabilities before market close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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