Official meteorological observations for Wellington on September 13 confirm a daily minimum of 7°C, aligning with the market's near-certain outcome. Clear to partly cloudy conditions under a weakening southerly flow allowed temperatures to fall to this level overnight before rising through the morning, consistent with regional model guidance and historical September climatology where overnight lows typically range from 6–9°C. Key resolution factors include verified readings from primary stations such as Wellington International Airport, with no subsequent drops observed. A realistic shift would require either an unforecast late-evening plunge below the recorded minimum or a post-hoc revision in official data, though current consensus across monitoring agencies makes such changes improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Wellington on September 13?
7°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
4°C or below
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
100%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
<1%
7°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
4°C or below
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
100%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Official meteorological observations for Wellington on September 13 confirm a daily minimum of 7°C, aligning with the market's near-certain outcome. Clear to partly cloudy conditions under a weakening southerly flow allowed temperatures to fall to this level overnight before rising through the morning, consistent with regional model guidance and historical September climatology where overnight lows typically range from 6–9°C. Key resolution factors include verified readings from primary stations such as Wellington International Airport, with no subsequent drops observed. A realistic shift would require either an unforecast late-evening plunge below the recorded minimum or a post-hoc revision in official data, though current consensus across monitoring agencies makes such changes improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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