The 2026 Roraima gubernatorial election features a fragmented field of declared candidates, including Arthur Henrique (PL), Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos), Farah Mesquita (Solidariedade), Rosi Aires (PSOL), and Clébio Genuíno (PCO), following party conventions in recent weeks. A June 2026 special election produced a clear short-term winner, but the October contest for the full term remains open months ahead of voting. Trader consensus around 44% odds for leading names reflects balanced early positioning across parties, limited consolidated polling, and the absence of decisive campaign momentum or major endorsements. Factors such as regional alliances, turnout dynamics in a small electorate, and potential late shifts in candidate viability or legal eligibility determinations could widen gaps as the race progresses.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtArthur Henrique 44%
Clébio Genuíno 44%
Farah Mesquita 44%
Rosi Aires 44%

Arthur Henrique
44%

Clébio Genuíno
44%

Farah Mesquita
44%

Rosi Aires
44%

Soldado Sampaio
44%
Arthur Henrique 44%
Clébio Genuíno 44%
Farah Mesquita 44%
Rosi Aires 44%

Arthur Henrique
44%

Clébio Genuíno
44%

Farah Mesquita
44%

Rosi Aires
44%

Soldado Sampaio
44%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Roraima gubernatorial election features a fragmented field of declared candidates, including Arthur Henrique (PL), Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos), Farah Mesquita (Solidariedade), Rosi Aires (PSOL), and Clébio Genuíno (PCO), following party conventions in recent weeks. A June 2026 special election produced a clear short-term winner, but the October contest for the full term remains open months ahead of voting. Trader consensus around 44% odds for leading names reflects balanced early positioning across parties, limited consolidated polling, and the absence of decisive campaign momentum or major endorsements. Factors such as regional alliances, turnout dynamics in a small electorate, and potential late shifts in candidate viability or legal eligibility determinations could widen gaps as the race progresses.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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