Tennessee's entrenched Republican dominance, with no Democratic governor since 2010 and GOP supermajorities in the legislature, drives trader consensus toward a 90% implied probability for a Republican winner in the November 3, 2026, gubernatorial election. Incumbent Gov. Bill Lee's term limit creates an open seat, but U.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn holds a commanding lead in recent Republican primary polls—such as a March 24 survey projecting her landslide ahead of Rep. John Rose and state Rep. Monty Fritts—ahead of the August 6 primaries. Democrats field a weak slate including Jerri Green and Carnita Atwater, with early general election matchups showing GOP nominees crushing opponents by wide margins. Absent major scandals or shifts, historical base rates favor the GOP nominee.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTennessee Governor Election Winner
Tennessee Governor Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
90%
Democrat
7%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$1,879 KL.
90%
Democrat
$699 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's entrenched Republican dominance, with no Democratic governor since 2010 and GOP supermajorities in the legislature, drives trader consensus toward a 90% implied probability for a Republican winner in the November 3, 2026, gubernatorial election. Incumbent Gov. Bill Lee's term limit creates an open seat, but U.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn holds a commanding lead in recent Republican primary polls—such as a March 24 survey projecting her landslide ahead of Rep. John Rose and state Rep. Monty Fritts—ahead of the August 6 primaries. Democrats field a weak slate including Jerri Green and Carnita Atwater, with early general election matchups showing GOP nominees crushing opponents by wide margins. Absent major scandals or shifts, historical base rates favor the GOP nominee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,578Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's entrenched Republican dominance, with no Democratic governor since 2010 and GOP supermajorities in the legislature, drives trader consensus toward a 90% implied probability for a Republican winner in the November 3, 2026, gubernatorial election. Incumbent Gov. Bill Lee's term limit creates an open seat, but U.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn holds a commanding lead in recent Republican primary polls—such as a March 24 survey projecting her landslide ahead of Rep. John Rose and state Rep. Monty Fritts—ahead of the August 6 primaries. Democrats field a weak slate including Jerri Green and Carnita Atwater, with early general election matchups showing GOP nominees crushing opponents by wide margins. Absent major scandals or shifts, historical base rates favor the GOP nominee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$2,578Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's entrenched Republican dominance, with no Democratic governor since 2010 and GOP supermajorities in the legislature, drives trader consensus toward a 90% implied probability for a Republican winner in the November 3, 2026, gubernatorial election. Incumbent Gov. Bill Lee's term limit creates an open seat, but U.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn holds a commanding lead in recent Republican primary polls—such as a March 24 survey projecting her landslide ahead of Rep. John Rose and state Rep. Monty Fritts—ahead of the August 6 primaries. Democrats field a weak slate including Jerri Green and Carnita Atwater, with early general election matchups showing GOP nominees crushing opponents by wide margins. Absent major scandals or shifts, historical base rates favor the GOP nominee.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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