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選舉·全球選舉

保加利亞國會選舉：第二名

Market icon
選舉·全球選舉

保加利亞國會選舉：第二名

GERB-SDS 95.1%

PP–DB 2.1%

PB 2.1%

DPS <1%

Polymarket

$58,690 交易量

GERB-SDS 95.1%

PP–DB 2.1%

PB 2.1%

DPS <1%

Polymarket

$58,690 交易量

在2026年保加利亞議會選舉中，GERB-UDF（GERB-SDS）會否排名第二？ icon

GERB-SDS

$24,968 交易量

95%

我們繼續變革—民主保加利亞（PP–DB）會在2026年保加利亞國會選舉中取得第二名嗎？ icon

PP–DB

$8,272 交易量

2%

進步保加利亞（PB）會在2026年保加利亞議會選舉中獲得第二名嗎？ icon

PB

$8,458 交易量

2%

在2026年保加利亞議會選舉中，權利與自由運動（DPS）會獲得第二名嗎？ icon

DPS

$1,604 交易量

<1%

維利奇耶（Velichie）會在2026年保加利亞議會選舉中獲得第二名嗎？ icon

維利奇耶

$2,145 交易量

<1%

復興黨（Vazrazhdane）會在2026年保加利亞議會選舉中獲得第二名嗎？ icon

復興黨

$2,132 交易量

<1%

聯合左翼（BSP）會在2026年保加利亞議會選舉中排名第二嗎？ icon

BSP

$2,002 交易量

<1%

在2026年保加利亞國會選舉中，「有這樣一個民族」（ITN）會獲得第二名嗎？ icon

有這樣一個民族（ITN）

$2,145 交易量

<1%

聯盟權利與自由（APS）會在2026年保加利亞議會選舉中獲得第二名嗎？ icon

APS

$3,977 交易量

<1%

道德、團結、榮譽（MECh）會在2026年保加利亞國會選舉中獲得第二名嗎？ icon

MECh

$2,992 交易量

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls ahead of Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, triggered by the December 2025 Zhelyazkov government resignation amid anti-corruption protests, show former President Rumen Radev's new Progressive Bulgaria (PB) coalition leading at 31-33%, with GERB-SDS entrenched in second at 19-23%—a double-digit edge over PP–DB (11-12%) and DPS (10-11%). The latest CAM survey (April 3-14) reinforces this, projecting GERB-SDS 55 seats behind PB's 90 under proportional representation. Trader sentiment reflects GERB-SDS's stable incumbency advantage and PB's anti-oligarch surge, amid voter fatigue from seven prior elections since 2021. Realistic challenges include a late PB scandal boosting PP–DB or higher turnout favoring ethnic-minority DPS, though final polls show minimal shifts.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
交易量
$58,690
結束日期
2026-04-19
市場開放時間
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls ahead of Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, triggered by the December 2025 Zhelyazkov government resignation amid anti-corruption protests, show former President Rumen Radev's new Progressive Bulgaria (PB) coalition leading at 31-33%, with GERB-SDS entrenched in second at 19-23%—a double-digit edge over PP–DB (11-12%) and DPS (10-11%). The latest CAM survey (April 3-14) reinforces this, projecting GERB-SDS 55 seats behind PB's 90 under proportional representation. Trader sentiment reflects GERB-SDS's stable incumbency advantage and PB's anti-oligarch surge, amid voter fatigue from seven prior elections since 2021. Realistic challenges include a late PB scandal boosting PP–DB or higher turnout favoring ethnic-minority DPS, though final polls show minimal shifts.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
交易量
$58,690
結束日期
2026-04-19
市場開放時間
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"保加利亞國會選舉：第二名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "GERB-SDS" at 95%, followed by "PP–DB" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "保加利亞國會選舉：第二名" has generated $58.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "保加利亞國會選舉：第二名," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "保加利亞國會選舉：第二名" is "GERB-SDS" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "PP–DB" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "保加利亞國會選舉：第二名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.