Trader consensus heavily favors GERB-SDS for second place in Bulgaria's snap parliamentary election on April 19, reflecting consistent polls over the past two weeks showing the center-right alliance at 19-21%—a double-digit lead over PP-DB at 12-13% and others trailing further behind Progressive Bulgaria's dominant 32-37% first-place position. This positioning stems from GERB-SDS's steady consolidation as the main establishment alternative amid voter fatigue with repeated elections since 2021, bolstered by recent surveys from firms like CAR, Market Links, and Sova Harris confirming the gap. Under proportional representation, securing second ensures key leverage in coalition negotiations. Realistic challenges include a late scandal hitting GERB-SDS, unexpected turnout boosting nationalists like Vazrazhdane, or PP-DB consolidating anti-corruption votes, though polls show scant momentum for shifts in the final days.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於GERB-SDS 95.8%
PB 2.4%
PP–DB 2.1%
DPS <1%
$59,616 交易量
$59,616 交易量
2026-04-19
GERB-SDS
96%
PB
2%
PP–DB
2%
DPS
<1%
維利奇耶
<1%
復興黨
<1%
BSP
<1%
有這樣一個民族（ITN）
<1%
APS
<1%
MECh
<1%
GERB-SDS 95.8%
PB 2.4%
PP–DB 2.1%
DPS <1%
$59,616 交易量
$59,616 交易量
2026-04-19
GERB-SDS
$25,393 交易量
96%
PB
$8,750 交易量
2%
PP–DB
$8,559 交易量
2%
DPS
$1,604 交易量
<1%
維利奇耶
$2,145 交易量
<1%
復興黨
$2,132 交易量
<1%
BSP
$2,002 交易量
<1%
有這樣一個民族（ITN）
$2,145 交易量
<1%
APS
$3,977 交易量
<1%
MECh
$2,992 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Trader consensus heavily favors GERB-SDS for second place in Bulgaria's snap parliamentary election on April 19, reflecting consistent polls over the past two weeks showing the center-right alliance at 19-21%—a double-digit lead over PP-DB at 12-13% and others trailing further behind Progressive Bulgaria's dominant 32-37% first-place position. This positioning stems from GERB-SDS's steady consolidation as the main establishment alternative amid voter fatigue with repeated elections since 2021, bolstered by recent surveys from firms like CAR, Market Links, and Sova Harris confirming the gap. Under proportional representation, securing second ensures key leverage in coalition negotiations. Realistic challenges include a late scandal hitting GERB-SDS, unexpected turnout boosting nationalists like Vazrazhdane, or PP-DB consolidating anti-corruption votes, though polls show scant momentum for shifts in the final days.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
市場開放時間： Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
交易量
$59,616結束日期
2026-04-19市場開放時間
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Trader consensus heavily favors GERB-SDS for second place in Bulgaria's snap parliamentary election on April 19, reflecting consistent polls over the past two weeks showing the center-right alliance at 19-21%—a double-digit lead over PP-DB at 12-13% and others trailing further behind Progressive Bulgaria's dominant 32-37% first-place position. This positioning stems from GERB-SDS's steady consolidation as the main establishment alternative amid voter fatigue with repeated elections since 2021, bolstered by recent surveys from firms like CAR, Market Links, and Sova Harris confirming the gap. Under proportional representation, securing second ensures key leverage in coalition negotiations. Realistic challenges include a late scandal hitting GERB-SDS, unexpected turnout boosting nationalists like Vazrazhdane, or PP-DB consolidating anti-corruption votes, though polls show scant momentum for shifts in the final days.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
交易量
$59,616結束日期
2026-04-19市場開放時間
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors GERB-SDS for second place in Bulgaria's snap parliamentary election on April 19, reflecting consistent polls over the past two weeks showing the center-right alliance at 19-21%—a double-digit lead over PP-DB at 12-13% and others trailing further behind Progressive Bulgaria's dominant 32-37% first-place position. This positioning stems from GERB-SDS's steady consolidation as the main establishment alternative amid voter fatigue with repeated elections since 2021, bolstered by recent surveys from firms like CAR, Market Links, and Sova Harris confirming the gap. Under proportional representation, securing second ensures key leverage in coalition negotiations. Realistic challenges include a late scandal hitting GERB-SDS, unexpected turnout boosting nationalists like Vazrazhdane, or PP-DB consolidating anti-corruption votes, though polls show scant momentum for shifts in the final days.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions