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科技·大型科技公司

Claude 4.7 released on...?

Market icon
科技·大型科技公司

Claude 4.7 released on...?

4月 30

6月 30

4月 30

6月 30

On or prior to April 16 75%

April 17 6.1%

Not released by April 30 4.5%

April 20 2.0%

Polymarket
最新

$43,489 交易量

On or prior to April 16 75%

April 17 6.1%

Not released by April 30 4.5%

April 20 2.0%

Polymarket
最新

$43,489 交易量

On or prior to April 16

$20,138 交易量

75%

April 17

$1,984 交易量

6%

April 18

$3,085 交易量

2%

April 19

$1,901 交易量

1%

April 20

$1,458 交易量

2%

April 21

$840 交易量

<1%

April 22

$993 交易量

<1%

April 23

$995 交易量

<1%

April 24

$1,171 交易量

1%

April 25

$1,595 交易量

<1%

April 26

$1,539 交易量

<1%

April 27

$1,244 交易量

<1%

April 28

$1,021 交易量

1%

April 29

$1,174 交易量

<1%

April 30

$1,268 交易量

1%

Not released by April 30

$3,440 交易量

5%

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public. Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 84% implied probability to Anthropic releasing Claude 4.7 on or before April 16, driven by a fresh report from The Information indicating the large language model's launch this week alongside a new AI-powered design tool for websites and presentations. Recent source code leaks from Anthropic's Claude Code app—revealing Opus 4.7 references and features like multi-agent orchestration—further fueled optimism, with a redesigned desktop app signaling rollout prep amid today's service disruptions. This positions Claude 4.7 as a competitive upgrade to Opus 4.6 in coding, agentic workflows, and long-context reasoning, though no official announcement confirms the exact timing, leaving room for typical delays in frontier AI model releases.

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.

Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)

Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.

Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$43,489
結束日期
2026-04-30
市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public. Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public. Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 84% implied probability to Anthropic releasing Claude 4.7 on or before April 16, driven by a fresh report from The Information indicating the large language model's launch this week alongside a new AI-powered design tool for websites and presentations. Recent source code leaks from Anthropic's Claude Code app—revealing Opus 4.7 references and features like multi-agent orchestration—further fueled optimism, with a redesigned desktop app signaling rollout prep amid today's service disruptions. This positions Claude 4.7 as a competitive upgrade to Opus 4.6 in coding, agentic workflows, and long-context reasoning, though no official announcement confirms the exact timing, leaving room for typical delays in frontier AI model releases.

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.

Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)

Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.

Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$43,489
結束日期
2026-04-30
市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public. Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Claude 4.7 released on...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "On or prior to April 16" at 75%, followed by "April 17" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Claude 4.7 released on...?" has generated $43.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 15, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Claude 4.7 released on...?," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Claude 4.7 released on...?" is "On or prior to April 16" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "April 17" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Claude 4.7 released on...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.