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政治·全球選舉

塞浦路斯眾議院選舉贏家

Market icon
政治·全球選舉

塞浦路斯眾議院選舉贏家

DISY 65%

AKEL 30%

EDEK 3.1%

KOSP <1%

Polymarket

$11,115 交易量

DISY 65%

AKEL 30%

EDEK 3.1%

KOSP <1%

Polymarket

$11,115 交易量

DISY

$3,036 交易量

65%

AKEL

$1,405 交易量

30%

EDEK

$936 交易量

3%

KOSP

$893 交易量

1%

ELAM

$880 交易量

1%

DIKO

$1,006 交易量

1%

VOLT

$1,060 交易量

1%

DIPA

$922 交易量

1%

DNM（DEK）

$978 交易量

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives. If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors DISY at 64.5% implied probability to secure the most seats in Cyprus's House of Representatives election on May 24, reflecting its razor-thin polling leads over AKEL despite a fragmented field and 25% undecided voters. Recent surveys, including Phileleftheros (March 30-April 6: DISY 17.6%, AKEL 17.1%) and Politis/Noverna (same period: DISY 16.5%, AKEL 15.8% overall, 22.3%-21.3% declared), underscore the deadlock, with ELAM and new entrant ALMA challenging for third amid anti-establishment sentiment. DISY's edge stems from higher voter loyalty (57-80% certainty), potential undecided consolidation, and proportional representation dynamics where micro-leads yield seat pluralities, as in poll-of-polls projections tying both at 15 seats. Over 10,000 new voters registered recently heightens uncertainty ahead of candidacy deadlines.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.

If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
交易量
$11,115
結束日期
2026-05-24
市場開放時間
Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives. If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives. If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors DISY at 64.5% implied probability to secure the most seats in Cyprus's House of Representatives election on May 24, reflecting its razor-thin polling leads over AKEL despite a fragmented field and 25% undecided voters. Recent surveys, including Phileleftheros (March 30-April 6: DISY 17.6%, AKEL 17.1%) and Politis/Noverna (same period: DISY 16.5%, AKEL 15.8% overall, 22.3%-21.3% declared), underscore the deadlock, with ELAM and new entrant ALMA challenging for third amid anti-establishment sentiment. DISY's edge stems from higher voter loyalty (57-80% certainty), potential undecided consolidation, and proportional representation dynamics where micro-leads yield seat pluralities, as in poll-of-polls projections tying both at 15 seats. Over 10,000 new voters registered recently heightens uncertainty ahead of candidacy deadlines.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.

If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
交易量
$11,115
結束日期
2026-05-24
市場開放時間
Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives. If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"塞浦路斯眾議院選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "DISY" at 65%, followed by "AKEL" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "塞浦路斯眾議院選舉贏家" has generated $11.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "塞浦路斯眾議院選舉贏家," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "塞浦路斯眾議院選舉贏家" is "DISY" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "AKEL" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "塞浦路斯眾議院選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.