Recent forecast guidance from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute and European ensemble models has positioned Amsterdam’s daily maximum near 25°C on May 22, driven by southerly flow advecting mild air masses under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Afternoon observations and updated model runs continue to cluster tightly in the 24–26°C range, consistent with May climatology where highs rarely exceed 26°C without stronger high-pressure ridging or atypical warm-air intrusions. This tight consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming 100% implied probability for the 25°C outcome. Only a late-day surge in insolation or an unexpected shift in steering patterns could realistically push readings into the next bracket before official station data finalize the result.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 22?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 22?
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$43,695 交易量
$43,695 交易量
2026-05-22
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$43,695 交易量
$43,695 交易量
2026-05-22
20°C or below
$687 交易量
No
21°C
$2,677 交易量
No
22°C
$3,296 交易量
No
23°C
$2,937 交易量
No
24°C
$8,227 交易量
No
25°C
$8,914 交易量
Yes
26°C
$7,243 交易量
No
27°C
$3,447 交易量
No
28°C
$2,336 交易量
No
29°C
$2,749 交易量
No
30°C or higher
$1,181 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute and European ensemble models has positioned Amsterdam’s daily maximum near 25°C on May 22, driven by southerly flow advecting mild air masses under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Afternoon observations and updated model runs continue to cluster tightly in the 24–26°C range, consistent with May climatology where highs rarely exceed 26°C without stronger high-pressure ridging or atypical warm-air intrusions. This tight consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming 100% implied probability for the 25°C outcome. Only a late-day surge in insolation or an unexpected shift in steering patterns could realistically push readings into the next bracket before official station data finalize the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$43,695結束日期
2026-05-22市場開放時間
May 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute and European ensemble models has positioned Amsterdam’s daily maximum near 25°C on May 22, driven by southerly flow advecting mild air masses under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Afternoon observations and updated model runs continue to cluster tightly in the 24–26°C range, consistent with May climatology where highs rarely exceed 26°C without stronger high-pressure ridging or atypical warm-air intrusions. This tight consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming 100% implied probability for the 25°C outcome. Only a late-day surge in insolation or an unexpected shift in steering patterns could realistically push readings into the next bracket before official station data finalize the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$43,695結束日期
2026-05-22市場開放時間
May 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent forecast guidance from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute and European ensemble models has positioned Amsterdam’s daily maximum near 25°C on May 22, driven by southerly flow advecting mild air masses under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Afternoon observations and updated model runs continue to cluster tightly in the 24–26°C range, consistent with May climatology where highs rarely exceed 26°C without stronger high-pressure ridging or atypical warm-air intrusions. This tight consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming 100% implied probability for the 25°C outcome. Only a late-day surge in insolation or an unexpected shift in steering patterns could realistically push readings into the next bracket before official station data finalize the result.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions