Forecast models from sources including GFS and national agencies indicate a daytime maximum near 19°C in Amsterdam on September 21 under high pressure near 1030 hPa, moderate northwest winds of 10–15 km/h, and mostly cloudy skies that limit surface heating. This aligns with the late-September climatological average high of 18.5°C while remaining below recent warm anomalies. Limited diurnal range and stable steering patterns reduce the chance of exceeding 20°C or falling to 18°C or lower, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 19°C as the most probable outcome ahead of final observational confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
9月21日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
19°C 76%
18°C 20%
20°C 7%
17°C 2%
$12,582 交易量
$12,582 交易量
2026-09-21
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
20%
19°C
76%
20°C
7%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C或以上
<1%
19°C 76%
18°C 20%
20°C 7%
17°C 2%
$12,582 交易量
$12,582 交易量
2026-09-21
13°C或以下
$272 交易量
<1%
14°C
$231 交易量
<1%
15°C
$122 交易量
<1%
16°C
$892 交易量
<1%
17°C
$1,043 交易量
2%
18°C
$2,365 交易量
20%
19°C
$3,869 交易量
76%
20°C
$2,134 交易量
7%
21°C
$1,497 交易量
<1%
22°C
$75 交易量
<1%
23°C或以上
$83 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and national agencies indicate a daytime maximum near 19°C in Amsterdam on September 21 under high pressure near 1030 hPa, moderate northwest winds of 10–15 km/h, and mostly cloudy skies that limit surface heating. This aligns with the late-September climatological average high of 18.5°C while remaining below recent warm anomalies. Limited diurnal range and stable steering patterns reduce the chance of exceeding 20°C or falling to 18°C or lower, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 19°C as the most probable outcome ahead of final observational confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$12,582結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and national agencies indicate a daytime maximum near 19°C in Amsterdam on September 21 under high pressure near 1030 hPa, moderate northwest winds of 10–15 km/h, and mostly cloudy skies that limit surface heating. This aligns with the late-September climatological average high of 18.5°C while remaining below recent warm anomalies. Limited diurnal range and stable steering patterns reduce the chance of exceeding 20°C or falling to 18°C or lower, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 19°C as the most probable outcome ahead of final observational confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,582結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETForecast models from sources including GFS and national agencies indicate a daytime maximum near 19°C in Amsterdam on September 21 under high pressure near 1030 hPa, moderate northwest winds of 10–15 km/h, and mostly cloudy skies that limit surface heating. This aligns with the late-September climatological average high of 18.5°C while remaining below recent warm anomalies. Limited diurnal range and stable steering patterns reduce the chance of exceeding 20°C or falling to 18°C or lower, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 19°C as the most probable outcome ahead of final observational confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions