**Trader consensus heavily favors a 25–26°C high in Ankara on September 21, reflecting model consensus for mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions, light winds, and typical late-September insolation under a stable high-pressure regime.** Official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance and multiple global models (including hourly runs showing afternoon peaks near 24–25°C) place the most probable maximum in this narrow band, with 24°C carrying only minimal market weight due to limited cooling expected overnight. Recent surface observations today near 24–25°C and minimal cloud cover or precipitation signals reinforce the outlook, while the low probabilities assigned to 27°C+ or 24°C and below underscore the tight uncertainty range typical for a 24-hour forecast. Final resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at the primary Ankara station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日安卡拉的最高溫度?
26°C 56%
25°C 38%
24°C 4%
27°C 3%
$10,474 交易量
$10,474 交易量
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
38%
26°C
56%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
26°C 56%
25°C 38%
24°C 4%
27°C 3%
$10,474 交易量
$10,474 交易量
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
38%
26°C
56%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus heavily favors a 25–26°C high in Ankara on September 21, reflecting model consensus for mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions, light winds, and typical late-September insolation under a stable high-pressure regime.** Official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance and multiple global models (including hourly runs showing afternoon peaks near 24–25°C) place the most probable maximum in this narrow band, with 24°C carrying only minimal market weight due to limited cooling expected overnight. Recent surface observations today near 24–25°C and minimal cloud cover or precipitation signals reinforce the outlook, while the low probabilities assigned to 27°C+ or 24°C and below underscore the tight uncertainty range typical for a 24-hour forecast. Final resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at the primary Ankara station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions