Recent official forecasts from sources including PredictWind, Yr.no, and Turkish meteorological outlooks project a September 8 high near 25°C in Ankara under clear skies and light northerly winds, with model consensus pointing to modest cooling from prior days' 29–32°C peaks. This atmospheric setup—stable high pressure and reduced southerly flow—positions 24°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 58% probability, followed by 25°C at 21.5%, reflecting trader alignment with ensemble guidance showing limited upside potential. Historical September averages near 27°C provide context, yet current conditions favor the lower end of the range. Updated model runs and final Turkish State Meteorological Service observations on the day will refine resolution thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月8日安卡拉的最高溫度?
24°C 58%
23°C 28%
25°C 21%
21°C 7%
19°C或以下
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
7%
22°C
4%
23°C
21%
24°C
58%
25°C
21%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C或以上
2%
24°C 58%
23°C 28%
25°C 21%
21°C 7%
19°C或以下
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
7%
22°C
4%
23°C
21%
24°C
58%
25°C
21%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from sources including PredictWind, Yr.no, and Turkish meteorological outlooks project a September 8 high near 25°C in Ankara under clear skies and light northerly winds, with model consensus pointing to modest cooling from prior days' 29–32°C peaks. This atmospheric setup—stable high pressure and reduced southerly flow—positions 24°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 58% probability, followed by 25°C at 21.5%, reflecting trader alignment with ensemble guidance showing limited upside potential. Historical September averages near 27°C provide context, yet current conditions favor the lower end of the range. Updated model runs and final Turkish State Meteorological Service observations on the day will refine resolution thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions