Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS drive trader consensus toward a highest temperature in Chengdu on March 26 around 23-24°C, with 29.5% implied probability on 24°C edging out 25.5% for 23°C, reflecting a warming trend from southerly winds transporting mild air masses northward. Recent observations show Chengdu's highs climbing from 18-20°C earlier this week, bolstered by high-pressure ridging suppressing clouds, though minor model divergences arise from potential afternoon cumulus development or urban heat island amplification at the official Longquan station. Historical March norms hover near 18°C, making this projected peak 5-6°C above baseline amid early spring variability, with traders eyeing tomorrow's 00Z updates for resolution shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on March 26?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on March 26?
24°C 33%
23°C 29%
22°C 13%
25°C 12%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
11%
22°C
13%
23°C
29%
24°C
33%
25°C
12%
26°C
4%
27°C or higher
2%
24°C 33%
23°C 29%
22°C 13%
25°C 12%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
11%
22°C
13%
23°C
29%
24°C
33%
25°C
12%
26°C
4%
27°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 22, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS drive trader consensus toward a highest temperature in Chengdu on March 26 around 23-24°C, with 29.5% implied probability on 24°C edging out 25.5% for 23°C, reflecting a warming trend from southerly winds transporting mild air masses northward. Recent observations show Chengdu's highs climbing from 18-20°C earlier this week, bolstered by high-pressure ridging suppressing clouds, though minor model divergences arise from potential afternoon cumulus development or urban heat island amplification at the official Longquan station. Historical March norms hover near 18°C, making this projected peak 5-6°C above baseline amid early spring variability, with traders eyeing tomorrow's 00Z updates for resolution shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions