Traders assign near-certainty to a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 15 because mid-August climatology places the city in peak summer conditions, with historical average daily highs of 30–32°C and frequent exceedances above 35°C according to long-term observational records. Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models consistently project afternoon maxima of 32–34°C under typical subtropical high-pressure influence and southerly flow, far exceeding the 26°C threshold. This positioning reflects the low likelihood of anomalous cooling from a passing front or heavy cloud cover in this season. Only an unseasonably strong northerly surge or measurement anomaly at the official station could realistically alter the outcome, though such events are rare in mid-August data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日濟南氣溫最高？
8月15日濟南氣溫最高？
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
16°C or below
$232 交易量
<1%
17°C
$232 交易量
<1%
18°C
$232 交易量
<1%
19°C
$232 交易量
<1%
20°C
$222 交易量
<1%
21°C
$152 交易量
<1%
22°C
$152 交易量
<1%
23°C
$152 交易量
<1%
24°C
$152 交易量
<1%
25°C
$151 交易量
<1%
26°C or higher
$849 交易量
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 15 because mid-August climatology places the city in peak summer conditions, with historical average daily highs of 30–32°C and frequent exceedances above 35°C according to long-term observational records. Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models consistently project afternoon maxima of 32–34°C under typical subtropical high-pressure influence and southerly flow, far exceeding the 26°C threshold. This positioning reflects the low likelihood of anomalous cooling from a passing front or heavy cloud cover in this season. Only an unseasonably strong northerly surge or measurement anomaly at the official station could realistically alter the outcome, though such events are rare in mid-August data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$2,756結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 15 because mid-August climatology places the city in peak summer conditions, with historical average daily highs of 30–32°C and frequent exceedances above 35°C according to long-term observational records. Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models consistently project afternoon maxima of 32–34°C under typical subtropical high-pressure influence and southerly flow, far exceeding the 26°C threshold. This positioning reflects the low likelihood of anomalous cooling from a passing front or heavy cloud cover in this season. Only an unseasonably strong northerly surge or measurement anomaly at the official station could realistically alter the outcome, though such events are rare in mid-August data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,756結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETTraders assign near-certainty to a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 15 because mid-August climatology places the city in peak summer conditions, with historical average daily highs of 30–32°C and frequent exceedances above 35°C according to long-term observational records. Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models consistently project afternoon maxima of 32–34°C under typical subtropical high-pressure influence and southerly flow, far exceeding the 26°C threshold. This positioning reflects the low likelihood of anomalous cooling from a passing front or heavy cloud cover in this season. Only an unseasonably strong northerly surge or measurement anomaly at the official station could realistically alter the outcome, though such events are rare in mid-August data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions