Persistent monsoon conditions and forecast thundershowers on September 15 are moderating maximum temperatures in Lucknow, where high humidity levels near 80% and extensive cloud cover limit daytime heating. Official outlooks from the India Meteorological Department indicate a likely high near 31–33°C amid partly cloudy skies with spells of rain, consistent with typical mid-September patterns when the monsoon trough influences northern India. Trader consensus reflected in the 47.5% implied probability for 33°C and 21–22.5% shares for 32–34°C aligns with model consensus emphasizing these rainfall-driven constraints, while lower odds for extremes above 35°C or below 31°C highlight the narrow range expected under current atmospheric steering and moisture profiles. Updated forecasts will refine resolution thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月15日勒克瑙的最高溫度?
33°C 52%
32°C 22%
34°C 19%
35°C 6%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
22%
33°C
52%
34°C
19%
35°C
6%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
33°C 52%
32°C 22%
34°C 19%
35°C 6%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
22%
33°C
52%
34°C
19%
35°C
6%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent monsoon conditions and forecast thundershowers on September 15 are moderating maximum temperatures in Lucknow, where high humidity levels near 80% and extensive cloud cover limit daytime heating. Official outlooks from the India Meteorological Department indicate a likely high near 31–33°C amid partly cloudy skies with spells of rain, consistent with typical mid-September patterns when the monsoon trough influences northern India. Trader consensus reflected in the 47.5% implied probability for 33°C and 21–22.5% shares for 32–34°C aligns with model consensus emphasizing these rainfall-driven constraints, while lower odds for extremes above 35°C or below 31°C highlight the narrow range expected under current atmospheric steering and moisture profiles. Updated forecasts will refine resolution thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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