Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and other models indicate maximum temperatures in Lucknow stabilizing around 34–36°C through September 22, with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and limited monsoon influence after recent light rains. These conditions support the market’s strong weighting toward 34°C (50.5% implied probability), as daytime heating under moderate humidity and light winds favors that range over cooler or significantly hotter outcomes. Recent observations near 34–35°C and the absence of strong warming signals or intense convection keep 35°C and above at lower probabilities, while any late-day cloud cover or showers could cap readings closer to 33°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日勒克瑙的最高溫度？
9月22日勒克瑙的最高溫度？
34°C 51%
33°C 34%
35°C 18%
37°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
28°C或以下
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
6%
33°C
34%
34°C
51%
35°C
18%
36°C
6%
37°C
13%
38°C或以上
10%
34°C 51%
33°C 34%
35°C 18%
37°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
28°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
29°C
$0 交易量
1%
30°C
$0 交易量
2%
31°C
$0 交易量
4%
32°C
$7 交易量
6%
33°C
$309 交易量
34%
34°C
$142 交易量
51%
35°C
$7 交易量
18%
36°C
$7 交易量
6%
37°C
$0 交易量
13%
38°C或以上
$0 交易量
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and other models indicate maximum temperatures in Lucknow stabilizing around 34–36°C through September 22, with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and limited monsoon influence after recent light rains. These conditions support the market’s strong weighting toward 34°C (50.5% implied probability), as daytime heating under moderate humidity and light winds favors that range over cooler or significantly hotter outcomes. Recent observations near 34–35°C and the absence of strong warming signals or intense convection keep 35°C and above at lower probabilities, while any late-day cloud cover or showers could cap readings closer to 33°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$473結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and other models indicate maximum temperatures in Lucknow stabilizing around 34–36°C through September 22, with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and limited monsoon influence after recent light rains. These conditions support the market’s strong weighting toward 34°C (50.5% implied probability), as daytime heating under moderate humidity and light winds favors that range over cooler or significantly hotter outcomes. Recent observations near 34–35°C and the absence of strong warming signals or intense convection keep 35°C and above at lower probabilities, while any late-day cloud cover or showers could cap readings closer to 33°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$473結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and other models indicate maximum temperatures in Lucknow stabilizing around 34–36°C through September 22, with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and limited monsoon influence after recent light rains. These conditions support the market’s strong weighting toward 34°C (50.5% implied probability), as daytime heating under moderate humidity and light winds favors that range over cooler or significantly hotter outcomes. Recent observations near 34–35°C and the absence of strong warming signals or intense convection keep 35°C and above at lower probabilities, while any late-day cloud cover or showers could cap readings closer to 33°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions