Forecast models from agencies like Spain's AEMET and international ensembles indicate Madrid's June 18 maximum will likely reach 34–36 °C at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station used for resolution, with 35 °C and 36 °C outcomes trading near parity due to small differences in predicted peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and strong June insolation favor rapid daytime heating over the central plateau, while light easterly flow limits advection of cooler Atlantic air. Recent observations show temperatures 2–4 °C above the long-term June average, sustaining the tight spread. Updated afternoon soundings and any late adjustments to surface wind or cloud cover could tip the final reading between the two leading bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Madrid on June 18?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 18?
35°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$86,398 交易量
$86,398 交易量
2026-06-18
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$86,398 交易量
$86,398 交易量
2026-06-18
31°C or below
$1,666 交易量
No
32°C
$571 交易量
No
33°C
$3,488 交易量
No
34°C
$17,048 交易量
No
35°C
$17,289 交易量
Yes
36°C
$21,057 交易量
No
37°C
$16,363 交易量
No
38°C
$6,526 交易量
No
39°C
$1,056 交易量
No
40°C
$655 交易量
No
41°C or higher
$680 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like Spain's AEMET and international ensembles indicate Madrid's June 18 maximum will likely reach 34–36 °C at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station used for resolution, with 35 °C and 36 °C outcomes trading near parity due to small differences in predicted peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and strong June insolation favor rapid daytime heating over the central plateau, while light easterly flow limits advection of cooler Atlantic air. Recent observations show temperatures 2–4 °C above the long-term June average, sustaining the tight spread. Updated afternoon soundings and any late adjustments to surface wind or cloud cover could tip the final reading between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ET
交易量
$86,398結束日期
2026-06-18市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like Spain's AEMET and international ensembles indicate Madrid's June 18 maximum will likely reach 34–36 °C at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station used for resolution, with 35 °C and 36 °C outcomes trading near parity due to small differences in predicted peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and strong June insolation favor rapid daytime heating over the central plateau, while light easterly flow limits advection of cooler Atlantic air. Recent observations show temperatures 2–4 °C above the long-term June average, sustaining the tight spread. Updated afternoon soundings and any late adjustments to surface wind or cloud cover could tip the final reading between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$86,398結束日期
2026-06-18市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Forecast models from agencies like Spain's AEMET and international ensembles indicate Madrid's June 18 maximum will likely reach 34–36 °C at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station used for resolution, with 35 °C and 36 °C outcomes trading near parity due to small differences in predicted peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and strong June insolation favor rapid daytime heating over the central plateau, while light easterly flow limits advection of cooler Atlantic air. Recent observations show temperatures 2–4 °C above the long-term June average, sustaining the tight spread. Updated afternoon soundings and any late adjustments to surface wind or cloud cover could tip the final reading between the two leading bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions