Recent official forecasts from Russian meteorological agencies and international models indicate Moscow will reach a daily maximum of exactly 21°C on May 23 under partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with the market's near-certain 21°C outcome. This positioning reflects verified observational trends and ensemble agreement on limited daytime heating amid springtime conditions near the seasonal average. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing that boosts insolation and pushes readings higher, or thicker cloud cover and precipitation suppressing the peak by 1–2°C, though current data make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Moscow on May 23?
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$35,605 交易量
$35,605 交易量
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$35,605 交易量
$35,605 交易量
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 21, 2026, 6:19 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent official forecasts from Russian meteorological agencies and international models indicate Moscow will reach a daily maximum of exactly 21°C on May 23 under partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with the market's near-certain 21°C outcome. This positioning reflects verified observational trends and ensemble agreement on limited daytime heating amid springtime conditions near the seasonal average. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing that boosts insolation and pushes readings higher, or thicker cloud cover and precipitation suppressing the peak by 1–2°C, though current data make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions