Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting numerical weather models indicate a daytime high of 18°C in Moscow on September 19 under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable high pressure near 1019 hPa. Observed afternoon readings clustered around 17–18°C, aligning precisely with climatological norms of roughly 15–16°C while falling short of warmer historical analogs. This consensus across GFS-derived guidance and surface observations underpins the market's near-certain positioning on 18°C. Only an unforecasted surge in insolation or a sharp wind shift could push readings outside this narrow band before the daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日莫斯科的最高溫度？
9月19日莫斯科的最高溫度？
18°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$20,566 交易量
$20,566 交易量
2026-09-19
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
是
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或更高
否
18°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$20,566 交易量
$20,566 交易量
2026-09-19
13°C或以下
$111 交易量
否
14°C
$111 交易量
否
15°C
$1,008 交易量
否
16°C
$3,032 交易量
否
17°C
$5,358 交易量
否
18°C
$3,552 交易量
是
19°C
$3,220 交易量
否
20°C
$2,803 交易量
否
21°C
$1,143 交易量
否
22°C
$89 交易量
否
23°C或更高
$139 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting numerical weather models indicate a daytime high of 18°C in Moscow on September 19 under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable high pressure near 1019 hPa. Observed afternoon readings clustered around 17–18°C, aligning precisely with climatological norms of roughly 15–16°C while falling short of warmer historical analogs. This consensus across GFS-derived guidance and surface observations underpins the market's near-certain positioning on 18°C. Only an unforecasted surge in insolation or a sharp wind shift could push readings outside this narrow band before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$20,566結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting numerical weather models indicate a daytime high of 18°C in Moscow on September 19 under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable high pressure near 1019 hPa. Observed afternoon readings clustered around 17–18°C, aligning precisely with climatological norms of roughly 15–16°C while falling short of warmer historical analogs. This consensus across GFS-derived guidance and surface observations underpins the market's near-certain positioning on 18°C. Only an unforecasted surge in insolation or a sharp wind shift could push readings outside this narrow band before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20,566結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting numerical weather models indicate a daytime high of 18°C in Moscow on September 19 under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable high pressure near 1019 hPa. Observed afternoon readings clustered around 17–18°C, aligning precisely with climatological norms of roughly 15–16°C while falling short of warmer historical analogs. This consensus across GFS-derived guidance and surface observations underpins the market's near-certain positioning on 18°C. Only an unforecasted surge in insolation or a sharp wind shift could push readings outside this narrow band before the daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions