**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and global models converged on a daily maximum near 19°C for Moscow on September 20, 2026, under southwesterly flow, mostly cloudy skies, and light winds.** Real-time observations throughout the afternoon showed temperatures peaking at or very near this value, with afternoon readings around 18–20°C (64–68°F) before cooling. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 19°C, as the consensus across GFS data, local stations, and pressure fields (around 747–750 mmHg) produced stable conditions without significant warming or cooling deviations. Historical September 20 averages near 15°C provide context for the mild anomaly, but no late-model shifts or unexpected advection altered the outcome. Only a major revision in final verified observations from Moscow-area stations could challenge the resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日莫斯科最高溫度？
9月20日莫斯科最高溫度？
19°C 100.0%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$37,548 交易量
$37,548 交易量
2026-09-20
14°C或以下
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
是
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C或以上
否
19°C 100.0%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$37,548 交易量
$37,548 交易量
2026-09-20
14°C或以下
$7,226 交易量
否
15°C
$1,327 交易量
否
16°C
$1,549 交易量
否
17°C
$3,515 交易量
否
18°C
$4,013 交易量
否
19°C
$7,666 交易量
是
20°C
$7,654 交易量
否
21°C
$3,639 交易量
否
22°C
$619 交易量
否
23°C
$129 交易量
否
24°C或以上
$213 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and global models converged on a daily maximum near 19°C for Moscow on September 20, 2026, under southwesterly flow, mostly cloudy skies, and light winds.** Real-time observations throughout the afternoon showed temperatures peaking at or very near this value, with afternoon readings around 18–20°C (64–68°F) before cooling. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 19°C, as the consensus across GFS data, local stations, and pressure fields (around 747–750 mmHg) produced stable conditions without significant warming or cooling deviations. Historical September 20 averages near 15°C provide context for the mild anomaly, but no late-model shifts or unexpected advection altered the outcome. Only a major revision in final verified observations from Moscow-area stations could challenge the resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$37,548結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and global models converged on a daily maximum near 19°C for Moscow on September 20, 2026, under southwesterly flow, mostly cloudy skies, and light winds.** Real-time observations throughout the afternoon showed temperatures peaking at or very near this value, with afternoon readings around 18–20°C (64–68°F) before cooling. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 19°C, as the consensus across GFS data, local stations, and pressure fields (around 747–750 mmHg) produced stable conditions without significant warming or cooling deviations. Historical September 20 averages near 15°C provide context for the mild anomaly, but no late-model shifts or unexpected advection altered the outcome. Only a major revision in final verified observations from Moscow-area stations could challenge the resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$37,548結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and global models converged on a daily maximum near 19°C for Moscow on September 20, 2026, under southwesterly flow, mostly cloudy skies, and light winds.** Real-time observations throughout the afternoon showed temperatures peaking at or very near this value, with afternoon readings around 18–20°C (64–68°F) before cooling. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 19°C, as the consensus across GFS data, local stations, and pressure fields (around 747–750 mmHg) produced stable conditions without significant warming or cooling deviations. Historical September 20 averages near 15°C provide context for the mild anomaly, but no late-model shifts or unexpected advection altered the outcome. Only a major revision in final verified observations from Moscow-area stations could challenge the resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions