Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park ASOS station—the authoritative source for New York City temperatures—recorded a maximum of 64-65°F on April 28, driving Polymarket trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as the market effectively resolves. This matched pre-event National Weather Service guidance and NOAA GFS/ECMWF model consensus projecting mid-60s peaks amid a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, sunny skies for optimal solar heating, and light winds curbing sea-breeze moderation. Starting from morning readings near 51°F after overnight lows around 46°F, conditions adhered to late-April climatology with normal highs of 61-67°F. Realistic challenges include rare NWS data revisions from equipment calibration issues or quality control audits, though such events are exceedingly uncommon post-verification. Hourly updates through the 2-5 PM EDT peak finalized the record.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in NYC on April 28?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 28?
64-65°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$129,058 交易量
$129,058 交易量
2026-04-28
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
Yes
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
64-65°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$129,058 交易量
$129,058 交易量
2026-04-28
55°F or below
$6,897 交易量
No
56-57°F
$4,486 交易量
No
58-59°F
$7,340 交易量
No
60-61°F
$7,953 交易量
No
62-63°F
$30,562 交易量
No
64-65°F
$22,101 交易量
Yes
66-67°F
$16,126 交易量
No
68-69°F
$16,110 交易量
No
70-71°F
$6,464 交易量
No
72-73°F
$4,186 交易量
No
74°F or higher
$6,834 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park ASOS station—the authoritative source for New York City temperatures—recorded a maximum of 64-65°F on April 28, driving Polymarket trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as the market effectively resolves. This matched pre-event National Weather Service guidance and NOAA GFS/ECMWF model consensus projecting mid-60s peaks amid a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, sunny skies for optimal solar heating, and light winds curbing sea-breeze moderation. Starting from morning readings near 51°F after overnight lows around 46°F, conditions adhered to late-April climatology with normal highs of 61-67°F. Realistic challenges include rare NWS data revisions from equipment calibration issues or quality control audits, though such events are exceedingly uncommon post-verification. Hourly updates through the 2-5 PM EDT peak finalized the record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 26, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
交易量
$129,058結束日期
2026-04-28市場開放時間
Apr 26, 2026, 12:16 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park ASOS station—the authoritative source for New York City temperatures—recorded a maximum of 64-65°F on April 28, driving Polymarket trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as the market effectively resolves. This matched pre-event National Weather Service guidance and NOAA GFS/ECMWF model consensus projecting mid-60s peaks amid a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, sunny skies for optimal solar heating, and light winds curbing sea-breeze moderation. Starting from morning readings near 51°F after overnight lows around 46°F, conditions adhered to late-April climatology with normal highs of 61-67°F. Realistic challenges include rare NWS data revisions from equipment calibration issues or quality control audits, though such events are exceedingly uncommon post-verification. Hourly updates through the 2-5 PM EDT peak finalized the record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$129,058結束日期
2026-04-28市場開放時間
Apr 26, 2026, 12:16 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park ASOS station—the authoritative source for New York City temperatures—recorded a maximum of 64-65°F on April 28, driving Polymarket trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as the market effectively resolves. This matched pre-event National Weather Service guidance and NOAA GFS/ECMWF model consensus projecting mid-60s peaks amid a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, sunny skies for optimal solar heating, and light winds curbing sea-breeze moderation. Starting from morning readings near 51°F after overnight lows around 46°F, conditions adhered to late-April climatology with normal highs of 61-67°F. Realistic challenges include rare NWS data revisions from equipment calibration issues or quality control audits, though such events are exceedingly uncommon post-verification. Hourly updates through the 2-5 PM EDT peak finalized the record.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions