Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 27 reached exactly 22°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability. This peak, recorded amid partly cloudy skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure ridge, exceeded the late-April climatological average of about 16°C by 6°C, aligning with ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models that clustered around 20–23°C in the days prior. While provisional data carries minimal risk of revision through Météo-France's quality control process, an improbable sensor recalibration or overlooked extreme reading could shift resolution, though historical validation rates affirm such stability. Final certified records are expected within days.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Paris on April 27?
22°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$147,868 交易量
$147,868 交易量
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
No
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
是
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C或以上
否
22°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$147,868 交易量
$147,868 交易量
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
No
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
是
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 25, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 27 reached exactly 22°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability. This peak, recorded amid partly cloudy skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure ridge, exceeded the late-April climatological average of about 16°C by 6°C, aligning with ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models that clustered around 20–23°C in the days prior. While provisional data carries minimal risk of revision through Météo-France's quality control process, an improbable sensor recalibration or overlooked extreme reading could shift resolution, though historical validation rates affirm such stability. Final certified records are expected within days.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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