**Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a daytime high in Paris on September 24 most likely reaching 23–25 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds.** This consensus, with afternoon peaks projected near 24 °C in several ensembles, explains the near-even market split between 24 °C (42.5 %) and 25 °C (39.5 %), while lower probabilities for 23 °C or 26 °C reflect residual uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Persistent high pressure supports modest warming above the September climatological average of ~20 °C, yet limited solar insolation from cloud cover caps upside potential and keeps downside risk contained. Updated model guidance and observational data from the next 12–18 hours will be the key inputs for final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月24日巴黎最高溫度？
9月24日巴黎最高溫度？
24°C 40%
25°C 39%
23°C 12%
26°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
12%
24°C
40%
25°C
39%
26°C
11%
27°C
1%
28°C或更高
<1%
24°C 40%
25°C 39%
23°C 12%
26°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
18°C或以下
$1,255 交易量
<1%
19°C
$366 交易量
<1%
20°C
$95 交易量
<1%
21°C
$166 交易量
<1%
22°C
$866 交易量
3%
23°C
$1,532 交易量
12%
24°C
$2,285 交易量
40%
25°C
$1,837 交易量
39%
26°C
$1,101 交易量
11%
27°C
$127 交易量
1%
28°C或更高
$95 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a daytime high in Paris on September 24 most likely reaching 23–25 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds.**
This consensus, with afternoon peaks projected near 24 °C in several ensembles, explains the near-even market split between 24 °C (42.5 %) and 25 °C (39.5 %), while lower probabilities for 23 °C or 26 °C reflect residual uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Persistent high pressure supports modest warming above the September climatological average of ~20 °C, yet limited solar insolation from cloud cover caps upside potential and keeps downside risk contained. Updated model guidance and observational data from the next 12–18 hours will be the key inputs for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$9,264結束日期
2026-09-24市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a daytime high in Paris on September 24 most likely reaching 23–25 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds.**
This consensus, with afternoon peaks projected near 24 °C in several ensembles, explains the near-even market split between 24 °C (42.5 %) and 25 °C (39.5 %), while lower probabilities for 23 °C or 26 °C reflect residual uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Persistent high pressure supports modest warming above the September climatological average of ~20 °C, yet limited solar insolation from cloud cover caps upside potential and keeps downside risk contained. Updated model guidance and observational data from the next 12–18 hours will be the key inputs for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,264結束日期
2026-09-24市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a daytime high in Paris on September 24 most likely reaching 23–25 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds.** This consensus, with afternoon peaks projected near 24 °C in several ensembles, explains the near-even market split between 24 °C (42.5 %) and 25 °C (39.5 %), while lower probabilities for 23 °C or 26 °C reflect residual uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Persistent high pressure supports modest warming above the September climatological average of ~20 °C, yet limited solar insolation from cloud cover caps upside potential and keeps downside risk contained. Updated model guidance and observational data from the next 12–18 hours will be the key inputs for final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions