**Korea Meteorological Administration observations through midday May 11 confirm Seoul's highest temperature peaked at 20°C around 11:00–12:00 local time, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome amid cloudy skies and approaching spring rains.** Persistent overcast conditions and moderate precipitation have suppressed daytime heating, aligning with short-range forecast models projecting daily highs in the 18–20°C range under a trough of low pressure. Historical mid-May averages hover around 22°C, but today's atmospheric setup—cooler air masses from the north and high humidity—limits convective warming. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing solar insolation to push readings to 21°C+, though incoming storm-like rains make that improbable; final KMA surface observations later today will lock in the official maximum for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seoul on May 11?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 11?
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$177,763 交易量
$177,763 交易量
2026-05-11
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$177,763 交易量
$177,763 交易量
2026-05-11
12°C or below
$6,049 交易量
No
13°C
$1,110 交易量
No
14°C
$5,517 交易量
No
15°C
$4,937 交易量
No
16°C
$15,950 交易量
No
17°C
$15,914 交易量
No
18°C
$16,838 交易量
No
19°C
$21,189 交易量
No
20°C
$30,856 交易量
Yes
21°C
$25,569 交易量
No
22°C or higher
$33,834 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Korea Meteorological Administration observations through midday May 11 confirm Seoul's highest temperature peaked at 20°C around 11:00–12:00 local time, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome amid cloudy skies and approaching spring rains.** Persistent overcast conditions and moderate precipitation have suppressed daytime heating, aligning with short-range forecast models projecting daily highs in the 18–20°C range under a trough of low pressure. Historical mid-May averages hover around 22°C, but today's atmospheric setup—cooler air masses from the north and high humidity—limits convective warming. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing solar insolation to push readings to 21°C+, though incoming storm-like rains make that improbable; final KMA surface observations later today will lock in the official maximum for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 9, 2026, 7:37 AM ET
交易量
$177,763結束日期
2026-05-11市場開放時間
May 9, 2026, 7:37 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Korea Meteorological Administration observations through midday May 11 confirm Seoul's highest temperature peaked at 20°C around 11:00–12:00 local time, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome amid cloudy skies and approaching spring rains.** Persistent overcast conditions and moderate precipitation have suppressed daytime heating, aligning with short-range forecast models projecting daily highs in the 18–20°C range under a trough of low pressure. Historical mid-May averages hover around 22°C, but today's atmospheric setup—cooler air masses from the north and high humidity—limits convective warming. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing solar insolation to push readings to 21°C+, though incoming storm-like rains make that improbable; final KMA surface observations later today will lock in the official maximum for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$177,763結束日期
2026-05-11市場開放時間
May 9, 2026, 7:37 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Korea Meteorological Administration observations through midday May 11 confirm Seoul's highest temperature peaked at 20°C around 11:00–12:00 local time, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome amid cloudy skies and approaching spring rains.** Persistent overcast conditions and moderate precipitation have suppressed daytime heating, aligning with short-range forecast models projecting daily highs in the 18–20°C range under a trough of low pressure. Historical mid-May averages hover around 22°C, but today's atmospheric setup—cooler air masses from the north and high humidity—limits convective warming. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing solar insolation to push readings to 21°C+, though incoming storm-like rains make that improbable; final KMA surface observations later today will lock in the official maximum for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions