**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 27°C daily maximum in Shanghai on September 11, 2026, with market-implied odds at 100% for that exact outcome.** Current official forecasts and real-time observations from meteorological agencies show northeasterly flow and partly cloudy conditions holding the high near 27°C (81°F), consistent with typical mid-September climatology for the region. Real-time station data and model consensus indicate minimal deviation risk today, as afternoon peaks align closely with this threshold under stable pressure and moderate humidity. The market reflects aggregated trader assessment of these conditions and official recording criteria. Only an unexpected late surge in solar heating or station-specific microclimate effects could realistically push readings to 28°C or higher before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日上海最高溫度？
9月11日上海最高溫度？
27°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
$100,211 交易量
$100,211 交易量
2026-09-11
25°C或以下
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C或以上
否
27°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
$100,211 交易量
$100,211 交易量
2026-09-11
25°C或以下
$10,296 交易量
否
26°C
$19,833 交易量
否
27°C
$22,745 交易量
是
28°C
$19,412 交易量
否
29°C
$15,361 交易量
否
30°C
$7,669 交易量
否
31°C
$3,131 交易量
否
32°C
$912 交易量
否
33°C
$485 交易量
否
34°C
$105 交易量
否
35°C或以上
$261 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 27°C daily maximum in Shanghai on September 11, 2026, with market-implied odds at 100% for that exact outcome.** Current official forecasts and real-time observations from meteorological agencies show northeasterly flow and partly cloudy conditions holding the high near 27°C (81°F), consistent with typical mid-September climatology for the region. Real-time station data and model consensus indicate minimal deviation risk today, as afternoon peaks align closely with this threshold under stable pressure and moderate humidity. The market reflects aggregated trader assessment of these conditions and official recording criteria. Only an unexpected late surge in solar heating or station-specific microclimate effects could realistically push readings to 28°C or higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$100,211結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 27°C daily maximum in Shanghai on September 11, 2026, with market-implied odds at 100% for that exact outcome.** Current official forecasts and real-time observations from meteorological agencies show northeasterly flow and partly cloudy conditions holding the high near 27°C (81°F), consistent with typical mid-September climatology for the region. Real-time station data and model consensus indicate minimal deviation risk today, as afternoon peaks align closely with this threshold under stable pressure and moderate humidity. The market reflects aggregated trader assessment of these conditions and official recording criteria. Only an unexpected late surge in solar heating or station-specific microclimate effects could realistically push readings to 28°C or higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$100,211結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 27°C daily maximum in Shanghai on September 11, 2026, with market-implied odds at 100% for that exact outcome.** Current official forecasts and real-time observations from meteorological agencies show northeasterly flow and partly cloudy conditions holding the high near 27°C (81°F), consistent with typical mid-September climatology for the region. Real-time station data and model consensus indicate minimal deviation risk today, as afternoon peaks align closely with this threshold under stable pressure and moderate humidity. The market reflects aggregated trader assessment of these conditions and official recording criteria. Only an unexpected late surge in solar heating or station-specific microclimate effects could realistically push readings to 28°C or higher before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions