Current meteorological forecasts from ensemble models converge on a daily maximum of 33°C in Shenzhen on June 2 under typical early-June subtropical monsoon conditions, with southerly flow, high humidity, and scattered afternoon showers limiting peak solar heating. This aligns with climatological baselines of 31–32°C highs for the region, where moderate cloud cover and convective activity prevent significant deviations. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 33°C reflects this model agreement and low upside risk for 34°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require unexpected reductions in cloud cover or delayed precipitation that allow greater surface heating, though latest guidance shows no such signals before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 2?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 2?
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$126,842 交易量
$126,842 交易量
2026-06-02
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$126,842 交易量
$126,842 交易量
2026-06-02
25°C or below
$662 交易量
No
26°C
$612 交易量
No
27°C
$776 交易量
No
28°C
$1,866 交易量
No
29°C
$3,399 交易量
No
30°C
$3,903 交易量
No
31°C
$35,576 交易量
No
32°C
$43,112 交易量
No
33°C
$16,660 交易量
Yes
34°C
$8,931 交易量
No
35°C or higher
$11,344 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from ensemble models converge on a daily maximum of 33°C in Shenzhen on June 2 under typical early-June subtropical monsoon conditions, with southerly flow, high humidity, and scattered afternoon showers limiting peak solar heating. This aligns with climatological baselines of 31–32°C highs for the region, where moderate cloud cover and convective activity prevent significant deviations. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 33°C reflects this model agreement and low upside risk for 34°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require unexpected reductions in cloud cover or delayed precipitation that allow greater surface heating, though latest guidance shows no such signals before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： May 31, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$126,842結束日期
2026-06-02市場開放時間
May 31, 2026, 12:18 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from ensemble models converge on a daily maximum of 33°C in Shenzhen on June 2 under typical early-June subtropical monsoon conditions, with southerly flow, high humidity, and scattered afternoon showers limiting peak solar heating. This aligns with climatological baselines of 31–32°C highs for the region, where moderate cloud cover and convective activity prevent significant deviations. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 33°C reflects this model agreement and low upside risk for 34°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require unexpected reductions in cloud cover or delayed precipitation that allow greater surface heating, though latest guidance shows no such signals before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$126,842結束日期
2026-06-02市場開放時間
May 31, 2026, 12:18 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Current meteorological forecasts from ensemble models converge on a daily maximum of 33°C in Shenzhen on June 2 under typical early-June subtropical monsoon conditions, with southerly flow, high humidity, and scattered afternoon showers limiting peak solar heating. This aligns with climatological baselines of 31–32°C highs for the region, where moderate cloud cover and convective activity prevent significant deviations. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 33°C reflects this model agreement and low upside risk for 34°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require unexpected reductions in cloud cover or delayed precipitation that allow greater surface heating, though latest guidance shows no such signals before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions