Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models such as ECMWF indicate a daytime maximum near 29°C in Shenzhen on May 21, driven by widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate easterly flow that restricts solar heating across the Pearl River Delta. This atmospheric setup aligns with typical late-spring conditions in the region, where humidity and precipitation moderate peak temperatures below seasonal averages of around 30°C. Trader consensus has priced the 29°C outcome at near-certainty, reflecting tight model agreement on limited intensification potential. Clearer skies or reduced moisture could allow brief spikes toward 30°C, though current observational trends and steering patterns make such shifts improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 21?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 21?
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$65,842 交易量
$65,842 交易量
2026-05-21
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$65,842 交易量
$65,842 交易量
2026-05-21
22°C or below
$424 交易量
No
23°C
$316 交易量
No
24°C
$477 交易量
No
25°C
$19,301 交易量
No
26°C
$11,201 交易量
No
27°C
$3,801 交易量
No
28°C
$5,986 交易量
No
29°C
$7,122 交易量
Yes
30°C
$7,926 交易量
No
31°C
$4,652 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$4,635 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models such as ECMWF indicate a daytime maximum near 29°C in Shenzhen on May 21, driven by widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate easterly flow that restricts solar heating across the Pearl River Delta. This atmospheric setup aligns with typical late-spring conditions in the region, where humidity and precipitation moderate peak temperatures below seasonal averages of around 30°C. Trader consensus has priced the 29°C outcome at near-certainty, reflecting tight model agreement on limited intensification potential. Clearer skies or reduced moisture could allow brief spikes toward 30°C, though current observational trends and steering patterns make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$65,842結束日期
2026-05-21市場開放時間
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models such as ECMWF indicate a daytime maximum near 29°C in Shenzhen on May 21, driven by widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate easterly flow that restricts solar heating across the Pearl River Delta. This atmospheric setup aligns with typical late-spring conditions in the region, where humidity and precipitation moderate peak temperatures below seasonal averages of around 30°C. Trader consensus has priced the 29°C outcome at near-certainty, reflecting tight model agreement on limited intensification potential. Clearer skies or reduced moisture could allow brief spikes toward 30°C, though current observational trends and steering patterns make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$65,842結束日期
2026-05-21市場開放時間
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models such as ECMWF indicate a daytime maximum near 29°C in Shenzhen on May 21, driven by widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate easterly flow that restricts solar heating across the Pearl River Delta. This atmospheric setup aligns with typical late-spring conditions in the region, where humidity and precipitation moderate peak temperatures below seasonal averages of around 30°C. Trader consensus has priced the 29°C outcome at near-certainty, reflecting tight model agreement on limited intensification potential. Clearer skies or reduced moisture could allow brief spikes toward 30°C, though current observational trends and steering patterns make such shifts improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions