Official observations from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport's automated weather station, as documented by Weather Underground, recorded a maximum temperature of 25°C on May 9, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover and light winds throughout the day suppressed solar heating, yielding a high well below Shenzhen's early May climatological average of 28–29°C, consistent with regional reports of hazy conditions from the China Meteorological Administration. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified data over pre-event forecasts anticipating mild warming. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data audits uncovering sensor anomalies or transcription errors, though automated station records rarely change.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 9?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 9?
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$75,012 交易量
$75,012 交易量
2026-05-09
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$75,012 交易量
$75,012 交易量
2026-05-09
18°C or below
$1,040 交易量
No
19°C
$5,644 交易量
No
20°C
$5,820 交易量
No
21°C
$5,195 交易量
No
22°C
$3,835 交易量
No
23°C
$2,905 交易量
No
24°C
$5,030 交易量
No
25°C
$19,864 交易量
Yes
26°C
$8,851 交易量
No
27°C
$9,010 交易量
No
28°C or higher
$7,820 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport's automated weather station, as documented by Weather Underground, recorded a maximum temperature of 25°C on May 9, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover and light winds throughout the day suppressed solar heating, yielding a high well below Shenzhen's early May climatological average of 28–29°C, consistent with regional reports of hazy conditions from the China Meteorological Administration. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified data over pre-event forecasts anticipating mild warming. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data audits uncovering sensor anomalies or transcription errors, though automated station records rarely change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 7, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
交易量
$75,012結束日期
2026-05-09市場開放時間
May 7, 2026, 12:40 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport's automated weather station, as documented by Weather Underground, recorded a maximum temperature of 25°C on May 9, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover and light winds throughout the day suppressed solar heating, yielding a high well below Shenzhen's early May climatological average of 28–29°C, consistent with regional reports of hazy conditions from the China Meteorological Administration. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified data over pre-event forecasts anticipating mild warming. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data audits uncovering sensor anomalies or transcription errors, though automated station records rarely change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$75,012結束日期
2026-05-09市場開放時間
May 7, 2026, 12:40 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport's automated weather station, as documented by Weather Underground, recorded a maximum temperature of 25°C on May 9, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover and light winds throughout the day suppressed solar heating, yielding a high well below Shenzhen's early May climatological average of 28–29°C, consistent with regional reports of hazy conditions from the China Meteorological Administration. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified data over pre-event forecasts anticipating mild warming. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data audits uncovering sensor anomalies or transcription errors, though automated station records rarely change.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions