Forecast models from major meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum of 33°C in Shenzhen on September 11 under partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity levels typical of the region's late-summer subtropical climate. This aligns with current observational trends and ensemble guidance showing peak heating during afternoon hours without significant convective suppression. Trader consensus at near-certainty for 33°C reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range temperature forecasts this close to resolution, as official station data from the China Meteorological Administration will determine the exact high. Realistically, only a sharp increase in cloud cover, unforecasted precipitation, or localized measurement variations at the primary reporting site could shift the outcome below or above this threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日深圳最高溫度？
9月11日深圳最高溫度？
33°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$35,356 交易量
$35,356 交易量
2026-09-11
26°C或以下
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
是
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C或以上
否
33°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$35,356 交易量
$35,356 交易量
2026-09-11
26°C或以下
$215 交易量
否
27°C
$120 交易量
否
28°C
$564 交易量
否
29°C
$1,766 交易量
否
30°C
$2,215 交易量
否
31°C
$7,831 交易量
否
32°C
$8,080 交易量
否
33°C
$4,997 交易量
是
34°C
$5,118 交易量
否
35°C
$2,530 交易量
否
36°C或以上
$1,920 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from major meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum of 33°C in Shenzhen on September 11 under partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity levels typical of the region's late-summer subtropical climate. This aligns with current observational trends and ensemble guidance showing peak heating during afternoon hours without significant convective suppression. Trader consensus at near-certainty for 33°C reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range temperature forecasts this close to resolution, as official station data from the China Meteorological Administration will determine the exact high. Realistically, only a sharp increase in cloud cover, unforecasted precipitation, or localized measurement variations at the primary reporting site could shift the outcome below or above this threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$35,356結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from major meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum of 33°C in Shenzhen on September 11 under partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity levels typical of the region's late-summer subtropical climate. This aligns with current observational trends and ensemble guidance showing peak heating during afternoon hours without significant convective suppression. Trader consensus at near-certainty for 33°C reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range temperature forecasts this close to resolution, as official station data from the China Meteorological Administration will determine the exact high. Realistically, only a sharp increase in cloud cover, unforecasted precipitation, or localized measurement variations at the primary reporting site could shift the outcome below or above this threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$35,356結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Forecast models from major meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum of 33°C in Shenzhen on September 11 under partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity levels typical of the region's late-summer subtropical climate. This aligns with current observational trends and ensemble guidance showing peak heating during afternoon hours without significant convective suppression. Trader consensus at near-certainty for 33°C reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range temperature forecasts this close to resolution, as official station data from the China Meteorological Administration will determine the exact high. Realistically, only a sharp increase in cloud cover, unforecasted precipitation, or localized measurement variations at the primary reporting site could shift the outcome below or above this threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions