Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Tel Aviv high of 23°C at 28% implied probability, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service forecast pinpointing 23-24°C amid a stable high-pressure system over the eastern Mediterranean. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS show a tight spread around 22-25°C, with 23°C as the modal outcome, reflecting slight warming from above-average sea surface temperatures and minimal cloud cover expected on March 28. Historical March highs average 21°C, but recent diurnal peaks have trended 1-2°C warmer; differentiation hinges on afternoon insolation intensity and urban heat island effects at the official Ben Gurion station, where small variances in wind shear could nudge outcomes toward 24°C (20.5%) or 22°C (18%). Upcoming hourly updates may refine these market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月28日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
3月28日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
23°C 28%
24°C 21%
22°C 18%
25°C 18%
17°C或以下
2%
18°C
11%
19°C
14%
20°C
15%
21°C
16%
22°C
18%
23°C
28%
24°C
21%
25°C
18%
26°C
17%
27°C或更高
4%
23°C 28%
24°C 21%
22°C 18%
25°C 18%
17°C或以下
2%
18°C
11%
19°C
14%
20°C
15%
21°C
16%
22°C
18%
23°C
28%
24°C
21%
25°C
18%
26°C
17%
27°C或更高
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Tel Aviv high of 23°C at 28% implied probability, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service forecast pinpointing 23-24°C amid a stable high-pressure system over the eastern Mediterranean. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS show a tight spread around 22-25°C, with 23°C as the modal outcome, reflecting slight warming from above-average sea surface temperatures and minimal cloud cover expected on March 28. Historical March highs average 21°C, but recent diurnal peaks have trended 1-2°C warmer; differentiation hinges on afternoon insolation intensity and urban heat island effects at the official Ben Gurion station, where small variances in wind shear could nudge outcomes toward 24°C (20.5%) or 22°C (18%). Upcoming hourly updates may refine these market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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