The market-implied odds reflect near-certain trader consensus that Tel Aviv's maximum temperature on September 16 will reach exactly 33°C, driven by the latest official forecast from the Israel Meteorological Service aligning with regional model outputs from ECMWF and GFS. These indicate stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and clear skies supporting daytime heating to that precise threshold without exceeding it, consistent with late-summer climatology for the coastal plain where September averages hover near 30–32°C. Strong agreement across observational networks and short-range guidance leaves minimal room for deviation. Only an unexpected late-day shift in sea breeze strength or localized measurement variance at the official station could realistically alter resolution, though both remain low-probability under current atmospheric stability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
9月16日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
33°C 100%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$36,823 交易量
$36,823 交易量
2026-09-16
29°C或以下
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
是
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C或以上
否
33°C 100%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$36,823 交易量
$36,823 交易量
2026-09-16
29°C或以下
$3,434 交易量
否
30°C
$1,982 交易量
否
31°C
$2,259 交易量
否
32°C
$8,173 交易量
否
33°C
$8,535 交易量
是
34°C
$8,021 交易量
否
35°C
$2,963 交易量
否
36°C
$546 交易量
否
37°C
$201 交易量
否
38°C
$307 交易量
否
39°C或以上
$402 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds reflect near-certain trader consensus that Tel Aviv's maximum temperature on September 16 will reach exactly 33°C, driven by the latest official forecast from the Israel Meteorological Service aligning with regional model outputs from ECMWF and GFS. These indicate stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and clear skies supporting daytime heating to that precise threshold without exceeding it, consistent with late-summer climatology for the coastal plain where September averages hover near 30–32°C. Strong agreement across observational networks and short-range guidance leaves minimal room for deviation. Only an unexpected late-day shift in sea breeze strength or localized measurement variance at the official station could realistically alter resolution, though both remain low-probability under current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$36,823結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds reflect near-certain trader consensus that Tel Aviv's maximum temperature on September 16 will reach exactly 33°C, driven by the latest official forecast from the Israel Meteorological Service aligning with regional model outputs from ECMWF and GFS. These indicate stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and clear skies supporting daytime heating to that precise threshold without exceeding it, consistent with late-summer climatology for the coastal plain where September averages hover near 30–32°C. Strong agreement across observational networks and short-range guidance leaves minimal room for deviation. Only an unexpected late-day shift in sea breeze strength or localized measurement variance at the official station could realistically alter resolution, though both remain low-probability under current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$36,823結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The market-implied odds reflect near-certain trader consensus that Tel Aviv's maximum temperature on September 16 will reach exactly 33°C, driven by the latest official forecast from the Israel Meteorological Service aligning with regional model outputs from ECMWF and GFS. These indicate stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and clear skies supporting daytime heating to that precise threshold without exceeding it, consistent with late-summer climatology for the coastal plain where September averages hover near 30–32°C. Strong agreement across observational networks and short-range guidance leaves minimal room for deviation. Only an unexpected late-day shift in sea breeze strength or localized measurement variance at the official station could realistically alter resolution, though both remain low-probability under current atmospheric stability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions