Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthis escalated regional tensions by launching multiple ballistic missile and drone attacks on Israel starting March 28, 2026—their first direct strikes since the current US-Israel-Iran war began—with further barrages claimed on April 1, 2, and 4, all intercepted by Israeli air defenses or falling short. No Israeli airstrikes, drone strikes, or missile attacks on Yemeni soil have occurred in response, as Israel prioritizes fronts against Iran and Hezbollah amid a fragile US-brokered ceasefire. Trader consensus reflects low near-term odds for retaliation due to logistical challenges targeting distant Houthi positions and focus on higher-priority threats, though sustained Houthi provocations or diplomatic breakdowns could prompt escalation before May or June deadlines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$1,606,154 交易量
2026-04-30
4月30日
14%
5月31日
22%
6月30日
27%
$1,606,154 交易量
4月30日
$192,476 交易量
14%
5月31日
$76,711 交易量
22%
6月30日
$435,376 交易量
27%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthis escalated regional tensions by launching multiple ballistic missile and drone attacks on Israel starting March 28, 2026—their first direct strikes since the current US-Israel-Iran war began—with further barrages claimed on April 1, 2, and 4, all intercepted by Israeli air defenses or falling short. No Israeli airstrikes, drone strikes, or missile attacks on Yemeni soil have occurred in response, as Israel prioritizes fronts against Iran and Hezbollah amid a fragile US-brokered ceasefire. Trader consensus reflects low near-term odds for retaliation due to logistical challenges targeting distant Houthi positions and focus on higher-priority threats, though sustained Houthi provocations or diplomatic breakdowns could prompt escalation before May or June deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Mar 18, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
交易量
$1,606,154結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Mar 18, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthis escalated regional tensions by launching multiple ballistic missile and drone attacks on Israel starting March 28, 2026—their first direct strikes since the current US-Israel-Iran war began—with further barrages claimed on April 1, 2, and 4, all intercepted by Israeli air defenses or falling short. No Israeli airstrikes, drone strikes, or missile attacks on Yemeni soil have occurred in response, as Israel prioritizes fronts against Iran and Hezbollah amid a fragile US-brokered ceasefire. Trader consensus reflects low near-term odds for retaliation due to logistical challenges targeting distant Houthi positions and focus on higher-priority threats, though sustained Houthi provocations or diplomatic breakdowns could prompt escalation before May or June deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,606,154結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Mar 18, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthis escalated regional tensions by launching multiple ballistic missile and drone attacks on Israel starting March 28, 2026—their first direct strikes since the current US-Israel-Iran war began—with further barrages claimed on April 1, 2, and 4, all intercepted by Israeli air defenses or falling short. No Israeli airstrikes, drone strikes, or missile attacks on Yemeni soil have occurred in response, as Israel prioritizes fronts against Iran and Hezbollah amid a fragile US-brokered ceasefire. Trader consensus reflects low near-term odds for retaliation due to logistical challenges targeting distant Houthi positions and focus on higher-priority threats, though sustained Houthi provocations or diplomatic breakdowns could prompt escalation before May or June deadlines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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