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洛杉磯市長選舉

Market icon

洛杉磯市長選舉

尼迪亞·拉曼 47%

凱倫·巴斯 20%

史賓塞·普瑞特 20%

Rae Huang 4.8%

Polymarket

$898,655 交易量

尼迪亞·拉曼 47%

凱倫·巴斯 20%

史賓塞·普瑞特 20%

Rae Huang 4.8%

Polymarket

$898,655 交易量

尼迪亞·拉曼會贏得2026年洛杉磯市長選舉嗎? icon

尼迪亞·拉曼

$14,605 交易量

47%

凱倫·巴斯會贏得2026年洛杉磯市長選舉嗎? icon

凱倫·巴斯

$28,992 交易量

20%

史賓塞·普瑞特會贏得2026年洛杉磯市長選舉嗎? icon

史賓塞·普瑞特

$107,526 交易量

20%

Rae Huang會贏得2026年洛杉磯市長選舉嗎? icon

Rae Huang

$50,753 交易量

5%

亞當·米勒會贏得2026年洛杉磯市長選舉嗎? icon

亞當·米勒

$92,243 交易量

1%

阿薩德·阿納賈爾會贏得2026年洛杉磯市長選舉嗎? icon

阿薩德·阿納賈爾

$51,939 交易量

1%

吉娜·維奧拉會贏得2026年洛杉磯市長選舉嗎? icon

吉娜·維奧拉

$84,289 交易量

<1%

奧斯汀·比特納會贏得2026年洛杉磯市長選舉嗎? icon

奧斯汀·比特納

$10,373 交易量

<1%

莫妮卡·羅德里格斯會贏得2026年洛杉磯市長選舉嗎? icon

莫妮卡·羅德里格斯

$7,419 交易量

<1%

里克·卡魯索會贏得2026年洛杉磯市長選舉嗎? icon

里克·卡魯索

$430,307 交易量

<1%

林賽·霍瓦斯會贏得2026年洛杉磯市長選舉嗎? icon

林賽·霍瓦斯

$20,217 交易量

<1%

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Los Angeles City Councilmember Nithya Raman at 47% implied probability to win the June 2 nonpartisan primary for mayor, driven by her surge in a controversial March 30 Loyola Marymount University poll showing 33% support amid 40% undecided voters per a subsequent April 3 UCLA Luskin survey. Incumbent Mayor Karen Bass trails at 20% following unfavorable ratings (31% favorable vs. 56% unfavorable in March Berkeley IGS polling), tied to public dissatisfaction over housing affordability and 2025 wildfire response. Reality TV personality Spencer Pratt holds 26% on celebrity appeal and social media buzz targeting undecideds, despite lower poll numbers and recent residency questions after the Palisades Fire. With top-two advancing if no majority, volatility persists ahead of the primary.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
交易量
$898,655
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Los Angeles City Councilmember Nithya Raman at 47% implied probability to win the June 2 nonpartisan primary for mayor, driven by her surge in a controversial March 30 Loyola Marymount University poll showing 33% support amid 40% undecided voters per a subsequent April 3 UCLA Luskin survey. Incumbent Mayor Karen Bass trails at 20% following unfavorable ratings (31% favorable vs. 56% unfavorable in March Berkeley IGS polling), tied to public dissatisfaction over housing affordability and 2025 wildfire response. Reality TV personality Spencer Pratt holds 26% on celebrity appeal and social media buzz targeting undecideds, despite lower poll numbers and recent residency questions after the Palisades Fire. With top-two advancing if no majority, volatility persists ahead of the primary.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
交易量
$898,655
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"洛杉磯市長選舉" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "尼迪亞·拉曼" at 47%, followed by "凱倫·巴斯" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 47¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "洛杉磯市長選舉" has generated $898.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "洛杉磯市長選舉," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "洛杉磯市長選舉" is "尼迪亞·拉曼" at 47%, meaning the market assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "凱倫·巴斯" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "洛杉磯市長選舉" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.