Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Los Angeles City Councilmember Nithya Raman at 47% implied probability to win the June 2 nonpartisan primary for mayor, driven by her surge in a controversial March 30 Loyola Marymount University poll showing 33% support amid 40% undecided voters per a subsequent April 3 UCLA Luskin survey. Incumbent Mayor Karen Bass trails at 20% following unfavorable ratings (31% favorable vs. 56% unfavorable in March Berkeley IGS polling), tied to public dissatisfaction over housing affordability and 2025 wildfire response. Reality TV personality Spencer Pratt holds 26% on celebrity appeal and social media buzz targeting undecideds, despite lower poll numbers and recent residency questions after the Palisades Fire. With top-two advancing if no majority, volatility persists ahead of the primary.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於尼迪亞·拉曼 47%
凱倫·巴斯 20%
史賓塞·普瑞特 20%
Rae Huang 4.8%
$898,655 交易量
$898,655 交易量

尼迪亞·拉曼
47%

凱倫·巴斯
20%

史賓塞·普瑞特
20%

Rae Huang
5%

亞當·米勒
1%

阿薩德·阿納賈爾
1%

吉娜·維奧拉
<1%

奧斯汀·比特納
<1%

莫妮卡·羅德里格斯
<1%

里克·卡魯索
<1%

林賽·霍瓦斯
<1%
尼迪亞·拉曼 47%
凱倫·巴斯 20%
史賓塞·普瑞特 20%
Rae Huang 4.8%
$898,655 交易量
$898,655 交易量

尼迪亞·拉曼
47%

凱倫·巴斯
20%

史賓塞·普瑞特
20%

Rae Huang
5%

亞當·米勒
1%

阿薩德·阿納賈爾
1%

吉娜·維奧拉
<1%

奧斯汀·比特納
<1%

莫妮卡·羅德里格斯
<1%

里克·卡魯索
<1%

林賽·霍瓦斯
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
市場開放時間: Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Los Angeles City Councilmember Nithya Raman at 47% implied probability to win the June 2 nonpartisan primary for mayor, driven by her surge in a controversial March 30 Loyola Marymount University poll showing 33% support amid 40% undecided voters per a subsequent April 3 UCLA Luskin survey. Incumbent Mayor Karen Bass trails at 20% following unfavorable ratings (31% favorable vs. 56% unfavorable in March Berkeley IGS polling), tied to public dissatisfaction over housing affordability and 2025 wildfire response. Reality TV personality Spencer Pratt holds 26% on celebrity appeal and social media buzz targeting undecideds, despite lower poll numbers and recent residency questions after the Palisades Fire. With top-two advancing if no majority, volatility persists ahead of the primary.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions