**Trader consensus has converged sharply on 15°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Beijing on September 8, 2026, reflecting late-summer cooling under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light northerly winds.** Multiple forecast models and official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration projected overnight lows in the 13–16°C range, with several sources settling near 15°C (approximately 59°F) as the most probable minimum amid dew points around 13–14°C and high humidity. This aligns with observed trends of a cooler-than-average early September night, consistent with regional high-pressure influences suppressing warmer advection. The near-certain market pricing indicates minimal expected deviation once final verified observations are confirmed, though small revisions could arise from station-specific microclimate effects or post-processing adjustments to the official minimum. No major model disagreements or sudden weather shifts appear in recent updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月8日北京最低溫度？
9月8日北京最低溫度？
15°C 100.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$4,610 交易量
$4,610 交易量
2026-09-08
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
是
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或以上
否
15°C 100.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$4,610 交易量
$4,610 交易量
2026-09-08
12°C或以下
$1,090 交易量
否
13°C
$1,805 交易量
否
14°C
$237 交易量
否
15°C
$142 交易量
是
16°C
$187 交易量
否
17°C
$395 交易量
否
18°C
$45 交易量
否
19°C
$45 交易量
否
20°C
$360 交易量
否
21°C
$160 交易量
否
22°C或以上
$143 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged sharply on 15°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Beijing on September 8, 2026, reflecting late-summer cooling under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light northerly winds.** Multiple forecast models and official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration projected overnight lows in the 13–16°C range, with several sources settling near 15°C (approximately 59°F) as the most probable minimum amid dew points around 13–14°C and high humidity. This aligns with observed trends of a cooler-than-average early September night, consistent with regional high-pressure influences suppressing warmer advection. The near-certain market pricing indicates minimal expected deviation once final verified observations are confirmed, though small revisions could arise from station-specific microclimate effects or post-processing adjustments to the official minimum. No major model disagreements or sudden weather shifts appear in recent updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$4,610結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged sharply on 15°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Beijing on September 8, 2026, reflecting late-summer cooling under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light northerly winds.** Multiple forecast models and official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration projected overnight lows in the 13–16°C range, with several sources settling near 15°C (approximately 59°F) as the most probable minimum amid dew points around 13–14°C and high humidity. This aligns with observed trends of a cooler-than-average early September night, consistent with regional high-pressure influences suppressing warmer advection. The near-certain market pricing indicates minimal expected deviation once final verified observations are confirmed, though small revisions could arise from station-specific microclimate effects or post-processing adjustments to the official minimum. No major model disagreements or sudden weather shifts appear in recent updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,610結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus has converged sharply on 15°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Beijing on September 8, 2026, reflecting late-summer cooling under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light northerly winds.** Multiple forecast models and official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration projected overnight lows in the 13–16°C range, with several sources settling near 15°C (approximately 59°F) as the most probable minimum amid dew points around 13–14°C and high humidity. This aligns with observed trends of a cooler-than-average early September night, consistent with regional high-pressure influences suppressing warmer advection. The near-certain market pricing indicates minimal expected deviation once final verified observations are confirmed, though small revisions could arise from station-specific microclimate effects or post-processing adjustments to the official minimum. No major model disagreements or sudden weather shifts appear in recent updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions