Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Beijing will experience clear skies and light northerly winds overnight on September 9, supporting radiative cooling to a minimum near 12–14°C. This aligns with the market’s overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for 14°C, reflecting consistent model runs showing stable high pressure and dry conditions that limit further temperature drops. Historical September lows average 17.5°C, with values below 11°C rare since 1951. The positioning could shift if late-evening cloud cover or a wind increase raises the observed minimum, or if official station readings at the airport or urban sites differ slightly from model guidance. Updated observations through the night will provide the decisive data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日北京最低溫度？
9月9日北京最低溫度？
14°C 100.0%
11°C 1.9%
9°C或以下 <1%
10°C <1%
$1,978 交易量
$1,978 交易量
2026-09-09
9°C或以下
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
是
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C或以上
否
14°C 100.0%
11°C 1.9%
9°C或以下 <1%
10°C <1%
$1,978 交易量
$1,978 交易量
2026-09-09
9°C或以下
$306 交易量
否
10°C
$160 交易量
否
11°C
$40 交易量
否
12°C
$95 交易量
否
13°C
$40 交易量
否
14°C
$188 交易量
是
15°C
$192 交易量
否
16°C
$208 交易量
否
17°C
$259 交易量
否
18°C
$229 交易量
否
19°C或以上
$260 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Beijing will experience clear skies and light northerly winds overnight on September 9, supporting radiative cooling to a minimum near 12–14°C. This aligns with the market’s overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for 14°C, reflecting consistent model runs showing stable high pressure and dry conditions that limit further temperature drops. Historical September lows average 17.5°C, with values below 11°C rare since 1951. The positioning could shift if late-evening cloud cover or a wind increase raises the observed minimum, or if official station readings at the airport or urban sites differ slightly from model guidance. Updated observations through the night will provide the decisive data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,978結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Beijing will experience clear skies and light northerly winds overnight on September 9, supporting radiative cooling to a minimum near 12–14°C. This aligns with the market’s overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for 14°C, reflecting consistent model runs showing stable high pressure and dry conditions that limit further temperature drops. Historical September lows average 17.5°C, with values below 11°C rare since 1951. The positioning could shift if late-evening cloud cover or a wind increase raises the observed minimum, or if official station readings at the airport or urban sites differ slightly from model guidance. Updated observations through the night will provide the decisive data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,978結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Beijing will experience clear skies and light northerly winds overnight on September 9, supporting radiative cooling to a minimum near 12–14°C. This aligns with the market’s overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for 14°C, reflecting consistent model runs showing stable high pressure and dry conditions that limit further temperature drops. Historical September lows average 17.5°C, with values below 11°C rare since 1951. The positioning could shift if late-evening cloud cover or a wind increase raises the observed minimum, or if official station readings at the airport or urban sites differ slightly from model guidance. Updated observations through the night will provide the decisive data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions