**Official observations from Chicago O'Hare Airport confirm a daily minimum of 71°F on September 9, 2026, aligning with the market's dominant 70-71°F outcome at 99% implied probability.** National Weather Service data recorded the low at 7:06 AM local time under conditions that included light rain and fog, following a maximum of 80°F later that afternoon—well above the 1991-2020 normal low of 60°F for the date. This result sits near the upper end of typical early-September ranges and far above historical daily records near 47°F. The strong trader consensus reflects verified station data rather than forecasts, with resolution hinging on the official NWS climatological summary. Scenarios that could challenge the outcome include any post hoc revision to the preliminary reading or use of an alternate station, though such adjustments remain unlikely given the clear observational record.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日芝加哥的最低溫度?
70-71°F 100.0%
68-69°F 4%
67°F或以下 2%
72-73°F <1%
$2,043 交易量
$2,043 交易量
67°F或以下
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
是
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
華氏82-83度
否
84-85°F
否
86°F或更高
否
70-71°F 100.0%
68-69°F 4%
67°F或以下 2%
72-73°F <1%
$2,043 交易量
$2,043 交易量
67°F或以下
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
是
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
華氏82-83度
否
84-85°F
否
86°F或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Official observations from Chicago O'Hare Airport confirm a daily minimum of 71°F on September 9, 2026, aligning with the market's dominant 70-71°F outcome at 99% implied probability.** National Weather Service data recorded the low at 7:06 AM local time under conditions that included light rain and fog, following a maximum of 80°F later that afternoon—well above the 1991-2020 normal low of 60°F for the date. This result sits near the upper end of typical early-September ranges and far above historical daily records near 47°F. The strong trader consensus reflects verified station data rather than forecasts, with resolution hinging on the official NWS climatological summary. Scenarios that could challenge the outcome include any post hoc revision to the preliminary reading or use of an alternate station, though such adjustments remain unlikely given the clear observational record.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions