Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and HARMONIE models indicate Helsinki overnight lows near 12–13°C for August 22, aligning with late-summer climatology where average minima decline toward 11–12°C amid cooling sea-surface temperatures in the Baltic. This consensus underpins the closely matched market-implied odds for 13°C (39.5%), 12°C (33.0%), and 11–14°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact minimum driven by variable cloud cover, radiative cooling rates, and light wind mixing that can alter surface temperatures by 1–2°C. Clearer skies would favor lower readings through enhanced longwave radiation loss, while increased moisture or advection could hold values higher; updated model runs and official FMI observations tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日赫爾辛基最低溫度？
8月22日赫爾辛基最低溫度？
13°C 51%
10°C 28%
11°C 28%
14°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
8°C或以下
2%
9°C
17%
10°C
28%
11°C
28%
12°C
27%
13°C
39%
14°C
28%
15°C
4%
16°C
5%
17°C
1%
18°C或以上
1%
13°C 51%
10°C 28%
11°C 28%
14°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
8°C或以下
$86 交易量
2%
9°C
$5 交易量
17%
10°C
$0 交易量
28%
11°C
$0 交易量
28%
12°C
$0 交易量
27%
13°C
$72 交易量
39%
14°C
$0 交易量
28%
15°C
$25 交易量
4%
16°C
$28 交易量
5%
17°C
$150 交易量
1%
18°C或以上
$35 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and HARMONIE models indicate Helsinki overnight lows near 12–13°C for August 22, aligning with late-summer climatology where average minima decline toward 11–12°C amid cooling sea-surface temperatures in the Baltic. This consensus underpins the closely matched market-implied odds for 13°C (39.5%), 12°C (33.0%), and 11–14°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact minimum driven by variable cloud cover, radiative cooling rates, and light wind mixing that can alter surface temperatures by 1–2°C. Clearer skies would favor lower readings through enhanced longwave radiation loss, while increased moisture or advection could hold values higher; updated model runs and official FMI observations tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
交易量
$400結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and HARMONIE models indicate Helsinki overnight lows near 12–13°C for August 22, aligning with late-summer climatology where average minima decline toward 11–12°C amid cooling sea-surface temperatures in the Baltic. This consensus underpins the closely matched market-implied odds for 13°C (39.5%), 12°C (33.0%), and 11–14°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact minimum driven by variable cloud cover, radiative cooling rates, and light wind mixing that can alter surface temperatures by 1–2°C. Clearer skies would favor lower readings through enhanced longwave radiation loss, while increased moisture or advection could hold values higher; updated model runs and official FMI observations tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$400結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and HARMONIE models indicate Helsinki overnight lows near 12–13°C for August 22, aligning with late-summer climatology where average minima decline toward 11–12°C amid cooling sea-surface temperatures in the Baltic. This consensus underpins the closely matched market-implied odds for 13°C (39.5%), 12°C (33.0%), and 11–14°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact minimum driven by variable cloud cover, radiative cooling rates, and light wind mixing that can alter surface temperatures by 1–2°C. Clearer skies would favor lower readings through enhanced longwave radiation loss, while increased moisture or advection could hold values higher; updated model runs and official FMI observations tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions