**Current observational data and short-range forecast models from official meteorological agencies show Munich temperatures declining steadily toward an overnight low of 8°C under clear skies and light winds, producing strong radiative cooling.** This has driven near-certain trader consensus on the 8°C outcome, as real-time readings and model consensus align closely with that threshold by early morning. September climatology places the average low near 10.6°C, but the present calm, dry air mass enables greater cooling than typical. The market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of these conditions rather than a guarantee. A realistic shift could occur only if increased cloud cover or a late wind increase develops, limiting further temperature drop before official daily minimum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日是慕尼黑的最低溫度？
9月11日是慕尼黑的最低溫度？
8°C 100.0%
5°C或以下 <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$3,435 交易量
$3,435 交易量
2026-09-11
5°C或以下
否
6°C
否
7°C
否
8°C
是
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C或以上
否
8°C 100.0%
5°C或以下 <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$3,435 交易量
$3,435 交易量
2026-09-11
5°C或以下
$231 交易量
否
6°C
$488 交易量
否
7°C
$189 交易量
否
8°C
$122 交易量
是
9°C
$112 交易量
否
10°C
$58 交易量
否
11°C
$1,136 交易量
否
12°C
$1,019 交易量
否
13°C
$27 交易量
否
14°C
$27 交易量
否
15°C或以上
$27 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current observational data and short-range forecast models from official meteorological agencies show Munich temperatures declining steadily toward an overnight low of 8°C under clear skies and light winds, producing strong radiative cooling.** This has driven near-certain trader consensus on the 8°C outcome, as real-time readings and model consensus align closely with that threshold by early morning. September climatology places the average low near 10.6°C, but the present calm, dry air mass enables greater cooling than typical. The market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of these conditions rather than a guarantee. A realistic shift could occur only if increased cloud cover or a late wind increase develops, limiting further temperature drop before official daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$3,435結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current observational data and short-range forecast models from official meteorological agencies show Munich temperatures declining steadily toward an overnight low of 8°C under clear skies and light winds, producing strong radiative cooling.** This has driven near-certain trader consensus on the 8°C outcome, as real-time readings and model consensus align closely with that threshold by early morning. September climatology places the average low near 10.6°C, but the present calm, dry air mass enables greater cooling than typical. The market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of these conditions rather than a guarantee. A realistic shift could occur only if increased cloud cover or a late wind increase develops, limiting further temperature drop before official daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,435結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Current observational data and short-range forecast models from official meteorological agencies show Munich temperatures declining steadily toward an overnight low of 8°C under clear skies and light winds, producing strong radiative cooling.** This has driven near-certain trader consensus on the 8°C outcome, as real-time readings and model consensus align closely with that threshold by early morning. September climatology places the average low near 10.6°C, but the present calm, dry air mass enables greater cooling than typical. The market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of these conditions rather than a guarantee. A realistic shift could occur only if increased cloud cover or a late wind increase develops, limiting further temperature drop before official daily minimum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions