Recent model runs and ensemble guidance show light winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy overnight conditions favoring moderate radiative cooling, with the minimum expected near dawn on August 30. Forecasts from sources including GFS-based outputs place the low between roughly 62–68 °F, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied probabilities across the 64–69 °F bins. Differences among leading outcomes stem primarily from small variations in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat-island effects at the official Central Park observing site versus surrounding areas. Late-summer climatology centers on a 66 °F normal minimum, and with resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution guidance and any final National Weather Service adjustments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日紐約市的最低溫度？
8月30日紐約市的最低溫度？
68-69°F 41%
66-67°F 36%
64-65°F 16%
70-71°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
57°F或以下
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
30%
66-67°F
36%
68-69°F
35%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
1%
華氏76度或以上
<1%
68-69°F 41%
66-67°F 36%
64-65°F 16%
70-71°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
57°F或以下
$26 交易量
<1%
58-59°F
$15 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$311 交易量
3%
62-63°F
$357 交易量
5%
64-65°F
$141 交易量
30%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
36%
68-69°F
$168 交易量
35%
70-71°F
$95 交易量
9%
72-73°F
$366 交易量
3%
74-75°F
$40 交易量
1%
華氏76度或以上
$66 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs and ensemble guidance show light winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy overnight conditions favoring moderate radiative cooling, with the minimum expected near dawn on August 30. Forecasts from sources including GFS-based outputs place the low between roughly 62–68 °F, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied probabilities across the 64–69 °F bins. Differences among leading outcomes stem primarily from small variations in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat-island effects at the official Central Park observing site versus surrounding areas. Late-summer climatology centers on a 66 °F normal minimum, and with resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution guidance and any final National Weather Service adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,585結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs and ensemble guidance show light winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy overnight conditions favoring moderate radiative cooling, with the minimum expected near dawn on August 30. Forecasts from sources including GFS-based outputs place the low between roughly 62–68 °F, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied probabilities across the 64–69 °F bins. Differences among leading outcomes stem primarily from small variations in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat-island effects at the official Central Park observing site versus surrounding areas. Late-summer climatology centers on a 66 °F normal minimum, and with resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution guidance and any final National Weather Service adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,585結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETRecent model runs and ensemble guidance show light winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy overnight conditions favoring moderate radiative cooling, with the minimum expected near dawn on August 30. Forecasts from sources including GFS-based outputs place the low between roughly 62–68 °F, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied probabilities across the 64–69 °F bins. Differences among leading outcomes stem primarily from small variations in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat-island effects at the official Central Park observing site versus surrounding areas. Late-summer climatology centers on a 66 °F normal minimum, and with resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution guidance and any final National Weather Service adjustments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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