Tokyo's overnight minimum on August 23 is expected to settle near 25°C under typical late-summer conditions, with Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble forecasts showing a narrow range around the daily normal low of 22.9°C modified by urban heat retention and humidity. Persistent southerly flow, scattered showers, and high dew points have prevented significant radiative cooling, locking market-implied odds at 100% for the 25°C outcome as station data approach resolution thresholds. Only a late-arriving cold surge or prolonged clear-sky radiative loss could realistically push readings to 23°C or below, though current model consensus and historical August climatology make such shifts improbable before official verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日東京的最低溫度？
8月23日東京的最低溫度？
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$10,428 交易量
$10,428 交易量
2026-08-23
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$10,428 交易量
$10,428 交易量
2026-08-23
20°C or below
$393 交易量
No
21°C
$781 交易量
No
22°C
$1,015 交易量
No
23°C
$2,288 交易量
No
24°C
$1,799 交易量
No
25°C
$1,999 交易量
Yes
26°C
$1,122 交易量
No
27°C
$245 交易量
No
28°C
$312 交易量
No
29°C
$229 交易量
No
30°C or higher
$244 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo's overnight minimum on August 23 is expected to settle near 25°C under typical late-summer conditions, with Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble forecasts showing a narrow range around the daily normal low of 22.9°C modified by urban heat retention and humidity. Persistent southerly flow, scattered showers, and high dew points have prevented significant radiative cooling, locking market-implied odds at 100% for the 25°C outcome as station data approach resolution thresholds. Only a late-arriving cold surge or prolonged clear-sky radiative loss could realistically push readings to 23°C or below, though current model consensus and historical August climatology make such shifts improbable before official verification.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$10,428結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo's overnight minimum on August 23 is expected to settle near 25°C under typical late-summer conditions, with Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble forecasts showing a narrow range around the daily normal low of 22.9°C modified by urban heat retention and humidity. Persistent southerly flow, scattered showers, and high dew points have prevented significant radiative cooling, locking market-implied odds at 100% for the 25°C outcome as station data approach resolution thresholds. Only a late-arriving cold surge or prolonged clear-sky radiative loss could realistically push readings to 23°C or below, though current model consensus and historical August climatology make such shifts improbable before official verification.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,428結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Tokyo's overnight minimum on August 23 is expected to settle near 25°C under typical late-summer conditions, with Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble forecasts showing a narrow range around the daily normal low of 22.9°C modified by urban heat retention and humidity. Persistent southerly flow, scattered showers, and high dew points have prevented significant radiative cooling, locking market-implied odds at 100% for the 25°C outcome as station data approach resolution thresholds. Only a late-arriving cold surge or prolonged clear-sky radiative loss could realistically push readings to 23°C or below, though current model consensus and historical August climatology make such shifts improbable before official verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions