Market icon
地緣政治·Mbs

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

Market icon
地緣政治·Mbs

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

NEW
Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$1 交易量

Polymarket

June 30

$1 交易量

7%

December 31

$0 交易量

15%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman ceases to be leader of Saudi Arabia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed bin Salman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Salman and the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mohammed bin Salman, Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince and Prime Minister since 2022, holds unchallenged de facto leadership, with King Salman (88) delegating authority amid managed health issues including a July pacemaker battery replacement. No verifiable developments in the past 30 days—such as palace coups, abdications, or rival challenges—have emerged to threaten his position, following his 2017 consolidation of power via purges and arrests. Stability persists amid Yemen truce extensions, Vision 2030 projects like NEOM, and diplomatic outreach including US security talks. Traders eye unscheduled triggers like royal health crises or Iran tensions for potential shifts, but the monarchy's opaque succession favors continuity absent shocks.

Mohammed bin Salman, Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince and Prime Minister since 2022, holds unchallenged de facto leadership, with King Salman (88) delegating authority amid managed health issues including a July pacemaker battery replacement. No verifiable developments in the past 30 days—such as palace coups, abdications, or rival challenges—have emerged to threaten his position, following his 2017 consolidation of power via purges and arrests. Stability persists amid Yemen truce extensions, Vision 2030 projects like NEOM, and diplomatic outreach including US security talks. Traders eye unscheduled triggers like royal health crises or Iran tensions for potential shifts, but the monarchy's opaque succession favors continuity absent shocks.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman ceases to be leader of Saudi Arabia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed bin Salman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Salman and the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mohammed bin Salman, Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince and Prime Minister since 2022, holds unchallenged de facto leadership, with King Salman (88) delegating authority amid managed health issues including a July pacemaker battery replacement. No verifiable developments in the past 30 days—such as palace coups, abdications, or rival challenges—have emerged to threaten his position, following his 2017 consolidation of power via purges and arrests. Stability persists amid Yemen truce extensions, Vision 2030 projects like NEOM, and diplomatic outreach including US security talks. Traders eye unscheduled triggers like royal health crises or Iran tensions for potential shifts, but the monarchy's opaque succession favors continuity absent shocks.

Mohammed bin Salman, Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince and Prime Minister since 2022, holds unchallenged de facto leadership, with King Salman (88) delegating authority amid managed health issues including a July pacemaker battery replacement. No verifiable developments in the past 30 days—such as palace coups, abdications, or rival challenges—have emerged to threaten his position, following his 2017 consolidation of power via purges and arrests. Stability persists amid Yemen truce extensions, Vision 2030 projects like NEOM, and diplomatic outreach including US security talks. Traders eye unscheduled triggers like royal health crises or Iran tensions for potential shifts, but the monarchy's opaque succession favors continuity absent shocks.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 15%, followed by "June 30" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 15¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 15% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?" is "December 31" at 15%, meaning the market assigns a 15% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "June 30" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.