New York’s structural Democratic advantage and Kathy Hochul’s position as incumbent governor underpin the market’s strong consensus for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Primaries concluded in June, leaving Hochul to face Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, whose campaign has narrowed some polling gaps on affordability and taxes but remains limited by the state’s consistent partisan leanings in statewide contests. Recent surveys show Hochul ahead, though margins vary, while trader pricing incorporates historical patterns of Democratic dominance since the early 2000s. Potential shifts could stem from late developments on cost-of-living concerns, turnout changes in key regions, or unforeseen national political events within the final months before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$87,662 交易量
$87,662 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
94%
共和黨
8%
$87,662 交易量
$87,662 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$43,376 交易量
94%
共和黨
$44,286 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.New York’s structural Democratic advantage and Kathy Hochul’s position as incumbent governor underpin the market’s strong consensus for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Primaries concluded in June, leaving Hochul to face Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, whose campaign has narrowed some polling gaps on affordability and taxes but remains limited by the state’s consistent partisan leanings in statewide contests. Recent surveys show Hochul ahead, though margins vary, while trader pricing incorporates historical patterns of Democratic dominance since the early 2000s. Potential shifts could stem from late developments on cost-of-living concerns, turnout changes in key regions, or unforeseen national political events within the final months before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
交易量
$87,662結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.New York’s structural Democratic advantage and Kathy Hochul’s position as incumbent governor underpin the market’s strong consensus for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Primaries concluded in June, leaving Hochul to face Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, whose campaign has narrowed some polling gaps on affordability and taxes but remains limited by the state’s consistent partisan leanings in statewide contests. Recent surveys show Hochul ahead, though margins vary, while trader pricing incorporates historical patterns of Democratic dominance since the early 2000s. Potential shifts could stem from late developments on cost-of-living concerns, turnout changes in key regions, or unforeseen national political events within the final months before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$87,662結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s structural Democratic advantage and Kathy Hochul’s position as incumbent governor underpin the market’s strong consensus for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Primaries concluded in June, leaving Hochul to face Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, whose campaign has narrowed some polling gaps on affordability and taxes but remains limited by the state’s consistent partisan leanings in statewide contests. Recent surveys show Hochul ahead, though margins vary, while trader pricing incorporates historical patterns of Democratic dominance since the early 2000s. Potential shifts could stem from late developments on cost-of-living concerns, turnout changes in key regions, or unforeseen national political events within the final months before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions