Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic advantage in statewide contests since 2002 and her uncontested primary victory. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, Nassau County executive, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats maintain strong urban turnout and party infrastructure. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% Democrat probability aligns with these fundamentals. Potential shifts could arise from major scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm surge, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent months.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$87,662 交易量
$87,662 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
94%
共和黨
8%
$87,662 交易量
$87,662 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$43,376 交易量
94%
共和黨
$44,286 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic advantage in statewide contests since 2002 and her uncontested primary victory. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, Nassau County executive, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats maintain strong urban turnout and party infrastructure. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% Democrat probability aligns with these fundamentals. Potential shifts could arise from major scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm surge, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
交易量
$87,662結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic advantage in statewide contests since 2002 and her uncontested primary victory. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, Nassau County executive, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats maintain strong urban turnout and party infrastructure. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% Democrat probability aligns with these fundamentals. Potential shifts could arise from major scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm surge, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$87,662結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic advantage in statewide contests since 2002 and her uncontested primary victory. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, Nassau County executive, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats maintain strong urban turnout and party infrastructure. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% Democrat probability aligns with these fundamentals. Potential shifts could arise from major scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm surge, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent months.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions