Kathy Hochul’s commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in New York’s heavily Democratic state underpins trader consensus at 94.5% for her victory. Recent Siena polls of likely voters show her leading Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman by double digits, including a 49-39% margin in the August survey, reflecting her job approval near 48-49% and stronger name recognition. Blakeman, Nassau County executive, remains limited by lower statewide visibility and weaker independent support. Hochul has emphasized affordability measures and immigration policy contrasts in early ads, while Blakeman highlights crime, costs, and cooperation with federal enforcement. With the November 3 election roughly ten weeks away, sustained polling trends and New York’s partisan fundamentals continue to anchor the wide gap, though late shifts in turnout or unforeseen events could still narrow the race.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$104,503 交易量
$104,503 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
95%
共和黨
5%
$104,503 交易量
$104,503 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$49,219 交易量
95%
共和黨
$55,284 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kathy Hochul’s commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in New York’s heavily Democratic state underpins trader consensus at 94.5% for her victory. Recent Siena polls of likely voters show her leading Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman by double digits, including a 49-39% margin in the August survey, reflecting her job approval near 48-49% and stronger name recognition. Blakeman, Nassau County executive, remains limited by lower statewide visibility and weaker independent support. Hochul has emphasized affordability measures and immigration policy contrasts in early ads, while Blakeman highlights crime, costs, and cooperation with federal enforcement. With the November 3 election roughly ten weeks away, sustained polling trends and New York’s partisan fundamentals continue to anchor the wide gap, though late shifts in turnout or unforeseen events could still narrow the race.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
交易量
$104,503結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kathy Hochul’s commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in New York’s heavily Democratic state underpins trader consensus at 94.5% for her victory. Recent Siena polls of likely voters show her leading Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman by double digits, including a 49-39% margin in the August survey, reflecting her job approval near 48-49% and stronger name recognition. Blakeman, Nassau County executive, remains limited by lower statewide visibility and weaker independent support. Hochul has emphasized affordability measures and immigration policy contrasts in early ads, while Blakeman highlights crime, costs, and cooperation with federal enforcement. With the November 3 election roughly ten weeks away, sustained polling trends and New York’s partisan fundamentals continue to anchor the wide gap, though late shifts in turnout or unforeseen events could still narrow the race.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$104,503結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kathy Hochul’s commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in New York’s heavily Democratic state underpins trader consensus at 94.5% for her victory. Recent Siena polls of likely voters show her leading Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman by double digits, including a 49-39% margin in the August survey, reflecting her job approval near 48-49% and stronger name recognition. Blakeman, Nassau County executive, remains limited by lower statewide visibility and weaker independent support. Hochul has emphasized affordability measures and immigration policy contrasts in early ads, while Blakeman highlights crime, costs, and cooperation with federal enforcement. With the November 3 election roughly ten weeks away, sustained polling trends and New York’s partisan fundamentals continue to anchor the wide gap, though late shifts in turnout or unforeseen events could still narrow the race.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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