Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race against Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, backed by New York's partisan voting index favoring Democrats and consistent polling leads of 6–10 points in recent surveys from Siena College and others. Primary factors sustaining trader consensus include Hochul's incumbency advantages, the state's Democratic voter registration edge, and race ratings classifying the contest as solid or safe Democratic from outlets like the Cook Political Report. Recent developments show stable margins through mid-August 2026 with no major shifts following June primaries. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include a significant late-campaign scandal, unexpected national political wave, or sharp deterioration in state economic conditions that narrows Hochul's support among key voting blocs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$95,932 交易量
$95,932 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
95%
共和黨
6%
$95,932 交易量
$95,932 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$46,876 交易量
95%
共和黨
$49,056 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race against Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, backed by New York's partisan voting index favoring Democrats and consistent polling leads of 6–10 points in recent surveys from Siena College and others. Primary factors sustaining trader consensus include Hochul's incumbency advantages, the state's Democratic voter registration edge, and race ratings classifying the contest as solid or safe Democratic from outlets like the Cook Political Report. Recent developments show stable margins through mid-August 2026 with no major shifts following June primaries. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include a significant late-campaign scandal, unexpected national political wave, or sharp deterioration in state economic conditions that narrows Hochul's support among key voting blocs.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
交易量
$95,932結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race against Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, backed by New York's partisan voting index favoring Democrats and consistent polling leads of 6–10 points in recent surveys from Siena College and others. Primary factors sustaining trader consensus include Hochul's incumbency advantages, the state's Democratic voter registration edge, and race ratings classifying the contest as solid or safe Democratic from outlets like the Cook Political Report. Recent developments show stable margins through mid-August 2026 with no major shifts following June primaries. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include a significant late-campaign scandal, unexpected national political wave, or sharp deterioration in state economic conditions that narrows Hochul's support among key voting blocs.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$95,932結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race against Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, backed by New York's partisan voting index favoring Democrats and consistent polling leads of 6–10 points in recent surveys from Siena College and others. Primary factors sustaining trader consensus include Hochul's incumbency advantages, the state's Democratic voter registration edge, and race ratings classifying the contest as solid or safe Democratic from outlets like the Cook Political Report. Recent developments show stable margins through mid-August 2026 with no major shifts following June primaries. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include a significant late-campaign scandal, unexpected national political wave, or sharp deterioration in state economic conditions that narrows Hochul's support among key voting blocs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions