Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul maintains a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Her advantage stems from New York's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests, her established name recognition as sitting governor, and polling averages showing leads of 10 points or more over Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman in recent surveys of likely voters. Republicans have not won a New York gubernatorial election since 2002, limiting the challenger's path despite primary consolidation. Potential shifts could arise from major economic developments, turnout surges in suburban or upstate areas, late-breaking controversies affecting either candidate, or unusually low Democratic participation ahead of the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$98,372 交易量
$98,372 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
95%
共和黨
5%
$98,372 交易量
$98,372 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$49,090 交易量
95%
共和黨
$49,283 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul maintains a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Her advantage stems from New York's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests, her established name recognition as sitting governor, and polling averages showing leads of 10 points or more over Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman in recent surveys of likely voters. Republicans have not won a New York gubernatorial election since 2002, limiting the challenger's path despite primary consolidation. Potential shifts could arise from major economic developments, turnout surges in suburban or upstate areas, late-breaking controversies affecting either candidate, or unusually low Democratic participation ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
交易量
$98,372結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul maintains a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Her advantage stems from New York's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests, her established name recognition as sitting governor, and polling averages showing leads of 10 points or more over Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman in recent surveys of likely voters. Republicans have not won a New York gubernatorial election since 2002, limiting the challenger's path despite primary consolidation. Potential shifts could arise from major economic developments, turnout surges in suburban or upstate areas, late-breaking controversies affecting either candidate, or unusually low Democratic participation ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$98,372結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul maintains a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Her advantage stems from New York's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests, her established name recognition as sitting governor, and polling averages showing leads of 10 points or more over Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman in recent surveys of likely voters. Republicans have not won a New York gubernatorial election since 2002, limiting the challenger's path despite primary consolidation. Potential shifts could arise from major economic developments, turnout surges in suburban or upstate areas, late-breaking controversies affecting either candidate, or unusually low Democratic participation ahead of the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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