Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race due to the state's longstanding Democratic lean, her status as the sitting officeholder following an uncontested primary, and consistent polling leads of 4 to 20 points over Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman. Traders reflect this structural advantage and historical voting patterns through the 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Blakeman, the Nassau County executive, has highlighted taxes, affordability, and public safety but faces headwinds in a state where Democrats have won recent gubernatorial contests by double digits. Late developments such as economic shifts, turnout surges among key voting blocs, or unforeseen campaign events could narrow the gap before the November 3 election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$87,662 交易量
$87,662 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
94%
共和黨
8%
$87,662 交易量
$87,662 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$43,376 交易量
94%
共和黨
$44,286 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race due to the state's longstanding Democratic lean, her status as the sitting officeholder following an uncontested primary, and consistent polling leads of 4 to 20 points over Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman. Traders reflect this structural advantage and historical voting patterns through the 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Blakeman, the Nassau County executive, has highlighted taxes, affordability, and public safety but faces headwinds in a state where Democrats have won recent gubernatorial contests by double digits. Late developments such as economic shifts, turnout surges among key voting blocs, or unforeseen campaign events could narrow the gap before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
交易量
$87,662結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race due to the state's longstanding Democratic lean, her status as the sitting officeholder following an uncontested primary, and consistent polling leads of 4 to 20 points over Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman. Traders reflect this structural advantage and historical voting patterns through the 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Blakeman, the Nassau County executive, has highlighted taxes, affordability, and public safety but faces headwinds in a state where Democrats have won recent gubernatorial contests by double digits. Late developments such as economic shifts, turnout surges among key voting blocs, or unforeseen campaign events could narrow the gap before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$87,662結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race due to the state's longstanding Democratic lean, her status as the sitting officeholder following an uncontested primary, and consistent polling leads of 4 to 20 points over Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman. Traders reflect this structural advantage and historical voting patterns through the 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Blakeman, the Nassau County executive, has highlighted taxes, affordability, and public safety but faces headwinds in a state where Democrats have won recent gubernatorial contests by double digits. Late developments such as economic shifts, turnout surges among key voting blocs, or unforeseen campaign events could narrow the gap before the November 3 election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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