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icon for 美國國債在2027年之前達到峯值？

美國國債在2027年之前達到峯值？

icon for 美國國債在2027年之前達到峯值？

美國國債在2027年之前達到峯值？

1月 1, 2027

1月 1, 2027

$18,177 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$18,177 交易量

Polymarket

41兆美元

$675 交易量

55%

42兆美元

$9,304 交易量

7%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.Persistent structural deficits, driven by mandatory spending on entitlements, annual interest costs exceeding $1 trillion, and the effects of the 2025 reconciliation law (OBBBA), continue to push gross federal debt higher, reaching approximately $40.1 trillion as of early September 2026. CBO baselines project FY2026 shortfalls near $1.9–2 trillion, with debt held by the public climbing above 100% of GDP and no enacted spending offsets or revenue measures sufficient to produce a near-term peak. The debt limit, raised to $41.1 trillion in 2025, provides headroom into 2027, while congressional focus ahead of the November midterms centers on appropriations and potential reconciliation without fiscal consolidation. Absent major policy shifts within the resolution window, the trajectory points to ongoing increases through year-end 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
交易量
$18,177
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:41 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.Persistent structural deficits, driven by mandatory spending on entitlements, annual interest costs exceeding $1 trillion, and the effects of the 2025 reconciliation law (OBBBA), continue to push gross federal debt higher, reaching approximately $40.1 trillion as of early September 2026. CBO baselines project FY2026 shortfalls near $1.9–2 trillion, with debt held by the public climbing above 100% of GDP and no enacted spending offsets or revenue measures sufficient to produce a near-term peak. The debt limit, raised to $41.1 trillion in 2025, provides headroom into 2027, while congressional focus ahead of the November midterms centers on appropriations and potential reconciliation without fiscal consolidation. Absent major policy shifts within the resolution window, the trajectory points to ongoing increases through year-end 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
交易量
$18,177
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:41 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"美國國債在2027年之前達到峯值？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "39兆美元" at 100%, followed by "40兆美元" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "美國國債在2027年之前達到峯值？" has generated $18.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "美國國債在2027年之前達到峯值？," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "美國國債在2027年之前達到峯值？" is "39兆美元" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "40兆美元" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "美國國債在2027年之前達到峯值？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.