Preliminary ONPE data with over 90% of actas processed shows first-round turnout at approximately 68%, but trader consensus prices 70-75% at 82% implied probability, reflecting historical precedents like 70% in 2021 and adjustment for compulsory voting amid widespread apathy from Peru's decade of instability and a fragmented field of 34 presidential candidates. Logistical failures—late ballot deliveries affecting over 50,000 voters, prompting a one-day extension to April 13—suppressed participation below 2016's 82%, concentrating odds away from higher bins while <70% remains at just 0.5%. Final figures await full tabulation by the National Jury of Elections ahead of the June 7 runoff.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於70-75% 81.9%
75-80% 12%
80-85% 5.4%
低於70% 1.2%
$124,780 交易量
$124,780 交易量
2026-04-12
低於70%
1%
70-75%
82%
75-80%
12%
80-85%
5%
> 85%
<1%
70-75% 81.9%
75-80% 12%
80-85% 5.4%
低於70% 1.2%
$124,780 交易量
$124,780 交易量
2026-04-12
低於70%
$18,771 交易量
1%
70-75%
$35,230 交易量
82%
75-80%
$19,396 交易量
12%
80-85%
$43,362 交易量
5%
> 85%
$8,030 交易量
<1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Preliminary ONPE data with over 90% of actas processed shows first-round turnout at approximately 68%, but trader consensus prices 70-75% at 82% implied probability, reflecting historical precedents like 70% in 2021 and adjustment for compulsory voting amid widespread apathy from Peru's decade of instability and a fragmented field of 34 presidential candidates. Logistical failures—late ballot deliveries affecting over 50,000 voters, prompting a one-day extension to April 13—suppressed participation below 2016's 82%, concentrating odds away from higher bins while <70% remains at just 0.5%. Final figures await full tabulation by the National Jury of Elections ahead of the June 7 runoff.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
市場開放時間： Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
交易量
$124,780結束日期
2026-04-12市場開放時間
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Preliminary ONPE data with over 90% of actas processed shows first-round turnout at approximately 68%, but trader consensus prices 70-75% at 82% implied probability, reflecting historical precedents like 70% in 2021 and adjustment for compulsory voting amid widespread apathy from Peru's decade of instability and a fragmented field of 34 presidential candidates. Logistical failures—late ballot deliveries affecting over 50,000 voters, prompting a one-day extension to April 13—suppressed participation below 2016's 82%, concentrating odds away from higher bins while <70% remains at just 0.5%. Final figures await full tabulation by the National Jury of Elections ahead of the June 7 runoff.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
交易量
$124,780結束日期
2026-04-12市場開放時間
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Preliminary ONPE data with over 90% of actas processed shows first-round turnout at approximately 68%, but trader consensus prices 70-75% at 82% implied probability, reflecting historical precedents like 70% in 2021 and adjustment for compulsory voting amid widespread apathy from Peru's decade of instability and a fragmented field of 34 presidential candidates. Logistical failures—late ballot deliveries affecting over 50,000 voters, prompting a one-day extension to April 13—suppressed participation below 2016's 82%, concentrating odds away from higher bins while <70% remains at just 0.5%. Final figures await full tabulation by the National Jury of Elections ahead of the June 7 runoff.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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