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選舉·祕魯

哪些候選人晉級至2026年祕魯總統決選？

Market icon
選舉·祕魯

哪些候選人晉級至2026年祕魯總統決選？

其他 60.8%

洛佩斯·阿利亞加與藤森惠子 39%

藤森 & 尼耶托 <1%

洛佩斯·阿里亞加 & 洛佩斯·喬 <1%

Polymarket

$978,556 交易量

其他 60.8%

洛佩斯·阿利亞加與藤森惠子 39%

藤森 & 尼耶托 <1%

洛佩斯·阿里亞加 & 洛佩斯·喬 <1%

Polymarket

$978,556 交易量

其他

$246,526 交易量

61%

洛佩斯·阿利亞加與藤森惠子

$320,367 交易量

39%

藤森 & 尼耶托

$198,753 交易量

<1%

洛佩斯·阿里亞加 & 洛佩斯·喬

$24,017 交易量

<1%

洛佩斯·阿利亞加與涅托

$32,793 交易量

<1%

洛佩斯·查烏與藤森

$67,800 交易量

<1%

洛佩斯·喬與涅托

$16,487 交易量

<1%

洛佩斯·查烏 & 桑切斯·帕洛米諾

$24,242 交易量

<1%

洛佩斯·阿利亞加 & 桑切斯·帕洛米諾

$37,670 交易量

<1%

洛佩斯·阿利亞加 & 格羅佐

$9,953 交易量

<1%

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Keiko Fujimori leads Peru's ongoing first-round presidential vote count at around 17% with over 80% of ballots tallied, but the battle for second place—needed for the June 7 runoff—remains tight among Rafael López Aliaga, leftist Roberto Sánchez, and Jorge Nieto, each hovering near 10-12%. Ballot delays and extended voting from April 12-13 have fueled fraud claims without evidence, prolonging uncertainty in the fragmented field of 35 candidates. Trader consensus prices the López Aliaga-Fujimori pairing at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting their pre-election polling strength, while "Other" at 60.9% captures risks of Sánchez or Nieto surging as rural and overseas votes finalize, underscoring the closely contested nature of advancement.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.

If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
交易量
$978,556
結束日期
2026-04-12
市場開放時間
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Keiko Fujimori leads Peru's ongoing first-round presidential vote count at around 17% with over 80% of ballots tallied, but the battle for second place—needed for the June 7 runoff—remains tight among Rafael López Aliaga, leftist Roberto Sánchez, and Jorge Nieto, each hovering near 10-12%. Ballot delays and extended voting from April 12-13 have fueled fraud claims without evidence, prolonging uncertainty in the fragmented field of 35 candidates. Trader consensus prices the López Aliaga-Fujimori pairing at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting their pre-election polling strength, while "Other" at 60.9% captures risks of Sánchez or Nieto surging as rural and overseas votes finalize, underscoring the closely contested nature of advancement.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.

If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
交易量
$978,556
結束日期
2026-04-12
市場開放時間
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"哪些候選人晉級至2026年祕魯總統決選？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "其他" at 61%, followed by "洛佩斯·阿利亞加與藤森惠子" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 61¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "哪些候選人晉級至2026年祕魯總統決選？" has generated $978.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "哪些候選人晉級至2026年祕魯總統決選？," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "哪些候選人晉級至2026年祕魯總統決選？" is "其他" at 61%, meaning the market assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "洛佩斯·阿利亞加與藤森惠子" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "哪些候選人晉級至2026年祕魯總統決選？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.