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哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦?

Market icon

哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦?

12月 31

12月 31

$547,029 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$547,029 交易量

Polymarket
美國會在2027年前承認巴勒斯坦嗎? icon

美國

$9,126 交易量

10%

義大利會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦嗎? icon

義大利

$9,254 交易量

22%

荷蘭會在2027年前承認巴勒斯坦嗎? icon

荷蘭

$29,013 交易量

18%

日本會在2027年前承認巴勒斯坦嗎? icon

日本

$31,920 交易量

16%

德國會在2027年前承認巴勒斯坦嗎? icon

德國

$38,186 交易量

5%

比利時會在2027年前承認巴勒斯坦嗎? icon

比利時

$63,085 交易量

23%

芬蘭會在2027年前承認巴勒斯坦嗎? icon

芬蘭

$36,552 交易量

7%

奧地利會在2027年前承認巴勒斯坦嗎? icon

奧地利

$171,583 交易量

12%

希臘會在2027年前承認巴勒斯坦嗎? icon

希臘

$44,669 交易量

10%

紐西蘭會在2027年前承認巴勒斯坦嗎? icon

紐西蘭

$113,648 交易量

19%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.A surge in diplomatic recognitions during the 80th UN General Assembly in September 2025 propelled the State of Palestine to official acknowledgment by 157 of 193 UN member states, including first-time moves by the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, France, Portugal, Luxembourg, Malta, Belgium, Andorra, Monaco, and San Marino amid heightened focus on Gaza ceasefire talks and two-state solution pathways. No further recognitions have occurred in the past six months as of April 2026, with trader consensus centering on holdouts like Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Japan, the United States, and others facing domestic political hurdles, US-Israel alignment, and stalled peace negotiations. The 81st UNGA in September 2026 and potential multilateral summits represent key catalysts that could shift probabilities before year-end resolution.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$547,029
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.A surge in diplomatic recognitions during the 80th UN General Assembly in September 2025 propelled the State of Palestine to official acknowledgment by 157 of 193 UN member states, including first-time moves by the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, France, Portugal, Luxembourg, Malta, Belgium, Andorra, Monaco, and San Marino amid heightened focus on Gaza ceasefire talks and two-state solution pathways. No further recognitions have occurred in the past six months as of April 2026, with trader consensus centering on holdouts like Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Japan, the United States, and others facing domestic political hurdles, US-Israel alignment, and stalled peace negotiations. The 81st UNGA in September 2026 and potential multilateral summits represent key catalysts that could shift probabilities before year-end resolution.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$547,029
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "比利時" at 23%, followed by "義大利" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 23¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦?" has generated $547K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦?" is "比利時" at 23%, meaning the market assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "義大利" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.