Apple’s shift to a split iPhone launch schedule is the main driver behind market odds on the base iPhone 18 release. Supply-chain reports and analysts including Ming-Chi Kuo confirm that only the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and new foldable model launched in September 2026 following the September 9 keynote, with preorders starting September 12 and availability on September 18. The standard iPhone 18, along with the iPhone 18e and iPhone Air 2, is now slated for a spring 2027 debut to better segment premium and entry-level models and ease manufacturing pressure. This aligns with Apple’s recent pattern of staggering lower-tier devices and reflects credible supplier comments about postponed lens production. Traders are watching for any March 2027 event or official confirmation that could resolve the timeline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2027-02-28
2027年2月28日
25%
2027年3月31日
71%
2027 年 4 月 30 日
84%
$252 交易量
2027年2月28日
$124 交易量
25%
2027年3月31日
$88 交易量
71%
2027 年 4 月 30 日
$40 交易量
84%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s shift to a split iPhone launch schedule is the main driver behind market odds on the base iPhone 18 release. Supply-chain reports and analysts including Ming-Chi Kuo confirm that only the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and new foldable model launched in September 2026 following the September 9 keynote, with preorders starting September 12 and availability on September 18. The standard iPhone 18, along with the iPhone 18e and iPhone Air 2, is now slated for a spring 2027 debut to better segment premium and entry-level models and ease manufacturing pressure. This aligns with Apple’s recent pattern of staggering lower-tier devices and reflects credible supplier comments about postponed lens production. Traders are watching for any March 2027 event or official confirmation that could resolve the timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 5:52 PM ET
交易量
$252结束日期
2027-05-01市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 5:52 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s shift to a split iPhone launch schedule is the main driver behind market odds on the base iPhone 18 release. Supply-chain reports and analysts including Ming-Chi Kuo confirm that only the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and new foldable model launched in September 2026 following the September 9 keynote, with preorders starting September 12 and availability on September 18. The standard iPhone 18, along with the iPhone 18e and iPhone Air 2, is now slated for a spring 2027 debut to better segment premium and entry-level models and ease manufacturing pressure. This aligns with Apple’s recent pattern of staggering lower-tier devices and reflects credible supplier comments about postponed lens production. Traders are watching for any March 2027 event or official confirmation that could resolve the timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$252结束日期
2027-05-01市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 5:52 PM ETApple’s shift to a split iPhone launch schedule is the main driver behind market odds on the base iPhone 18 release. Supply-chain reports and analysts including Ming-Chi Kuo confirm that only the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and new foldable model launched in September 2026 following the September 9 keynote, with preorders starting September 12 and availability on September 18. The standard iPhone 18, along with the iPhone 18e and iPhone Air 2, is now slated for a spring 2027 debut to better segment premium and entry-level models and ease manufacturing pressure. This aligns with Apple’s recent pattern of staggering lower-tier devices and reflects credible supplier comments about postponed lens production. Traders are watching for any March 2027 event or official confirmation that could resolve the timeline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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