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保加利亚议会选举:哪些政党进入议会?

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保加利亚议会选举:哪些政党进入议会?

$103,963 交易量

2026-04-19
Polymarket

$103,963 交易量

Polymarket
联合左翼(保加利亚社会党,BSP)会在2026年保加利亚议会选举中至少赢得一个席位吗? icon

保加利亚社会党(BSP)

$30,742 交易量

41%

道德、团结、荣誉(MECh)党会在2026年保加利亚议会选举中至少赢得一个席位吗? icon

MECh

$7,028 交易量

20%

维利奇(Velichie)会在2026年保加利亚议会选举中至少赢得一个席位吗? icon

维利奇

$40,561 交易量

10%

“有这样一个人民”(ITN)会在2026年保加利亚议会选举中至少赢得一个席位吗? icon

有这样一个人民(ITN)

$11,769 交易量

2%

联盟权利与自由联盟(APS)将在2026年保加利亚议会选举中至少赢得一个席位吗? icon

APS

$13,863 交易量

2%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Bulgaria faces snap parliamentary elections on April 19, its eighth in five years after the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation amid corruption protests and budget disputes. Former President Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria leads recent polls at 30-34%, extending its advantage over GERB-UDF (18-19%), with five to six parties—likely including Revival, MRF, and BSP—poised to surpass the 4% threshold for the 240-seat National Assembly. Vote-buying allegations and employer pressure have intensified scrutiny on election eve, prompting caretaker government reforms and OSCE monitoring. Fragmented results historically demand prolonged coalition negotiations, shaping trader focus on polling accuracy and turnout amid 51% intended participation.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
交易量
$103,963
结束日期
2026-04-19
市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Bulgaria faces snap parliamentary elections on April 19, its eighth in five years after the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation amid corruption protests and budget disputes. Former President Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria leads recent polls at 30-34%, extending its advantage over GERB-UDF (18-19%), with five to six parties—likely including Revival, MRF, and BSP—poised to surpass the 4% threshold for the 240-seat National Assembly. Vote-buying allegations and employer pressure have intensified scrutiny on election eve, prompting caretaker government reforms and OSCE monitoring. Fragmented results historically demand prolonged coalition negotiations, shaping trader focus on polling accuracy and turnout amid 51% intended participation.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
交易量
$103,963
结束日期
2026-04-19
市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).

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常见问题

"保加利亚议会选举:哪些政党进入议会?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"保加利亚社会党(BSP)",概率为 41%,其次是"MECh",概率为 20%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 41¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 41%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"保加利亚议会选举:哪些政党进入议会?"已产生 $104K 的总交易量(自Mar 27, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"保加利亚议会选举:哪些政党进入议会?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"保加利亚议会选举:哪些政党进入议会?"的当前领先者是"保加利亚社会党(BSP)",概率为 41%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 41%。紧随其后的结果是"MECh",概率为 20%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"保加利亚议会选举:哪些政党进入议会?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。